The Mavericks and Texans are set to face off at 11:30 ET on ESPNU. The Texans will host the game at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, NV. UT Arlington is favored by -1.5 in this Western Athletic conference matchup the against Tarleton State. The over/under for the game is set at 144.5 points.


The Pick: UT Arlington Mavericks -1.5

This game will be played at Orleans Arena at 11:30 ET on Friday, March 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 80-68 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Not only will UT Arlington pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.

Will UT Arlington Come Through as Road Favorites?

UT Arlington is favored by 1.5 points on the road against Tarleton State. The Mavericks have won seven straight games and are 14-3 when favored this season.

UT Arlington’s average scoring margin on the road is -3.6 points per game, and they are 6-10 away from home this season. In their last game, the Mavericks defeated Stephen F. Austin by a score of 109-78.

UT Arlington has been a solid bet this season, going 22-8 against the spread. Their ATS record is even better on the road, as they are 12-4. Over their last three road games, the Mavericks have covered the spread every time. As the favorite, UT Arlington has gone 13-4 vs. the spread this year.

UT Arlington’s over/under record this season is 18-12, and the average scoring total in their games is 150.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (145.9). Over their last three games, their OU record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 152 points.

UT Arlington’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 109 points vs. Stephen F. Austin. Overall, they hit 58.7% of their shots from the field and went 16/20 from the free-throw line. The UT Arlington offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25.3 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 35% of their looks from outside this season.

Coming into today’s game, the UT Arlington defense is giving up an average of 72.5 points per contest. UT Arlington’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Stephen F. Austin offense to knock down 58% of their shots on their way to putting up 78 points.

No Pressure for Tarleton State as Home Dogs

Through 31 games this season, Tarleton State has a record of 23-8. They have been especially strong at home, going 10-3, and their average scoring margin at home is +6.2. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 7-3.

As the underdog, Tarleton State has gone 8-5 this season. They have been the underdog in 13 of their 31 games.

As the underdog, Tarleton State has been a solid bet against the spread this season, going 9-4. Their overall ATS record is 18-10. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Texans are 8-2 vs. the spread. At home this year, Tarleton State is 8-5 ATS and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Tarleton State’s games this season (138.4). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and over their last 10 games, the over/under record is 6-4.

In their recent matchup, the Tarleton State offense ended with 69 points against Seattle. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 50% and made 4 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Jakorie Smith, who is averaging 15.8 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Lue Williams also maintains a PPG average of 13.2 heading into game.

At present, the Texans’ defense is nationally ranked 74th, allowing 68.1 points per game. Tarleton State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Seattle offense to knock down 50% of their shots on their way to putting up 66 points.