The Mavericks and Texans are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Texans will host the game at Wisdom Gym in Stephenville, TX. The over/under for this game is set at 138.5 points, and the Texans are the home favorites against the Mavericks in a Western Athletic conference matchup.


The Pick: UT Arlington Mavericks +6

This game will be played at Wisdom Gym at 8:00 ET on Thursday, January 4th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 80-68 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Not only will UT Arlington pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.

Will the UT Arlington Defense Show Up on the Road?

UT Arlington, who has a 6-7 record, will be playing their 14th game of the season. The Mavericks have gone 1-6 on the road and 3-1 at home. Heading into their game against Tarleton State, UT Arlington holds an 8-3 ATS record. In their last ten games this season, UT Arlington has gone 3-1 vs. the spread.

So far, UT Arlington’s games have averaged 147.3 points per game with the average over/under line being 142.9 points. The Mavericks’ last five games have finished with a combined 134 points per game and an over/under record of 2-2.

The UT Arlington offense is coming off a game in which they scored 62 points vs. Texas. Overall their field goal percentage was 37.7% while connecting on 12 threes. Kade Douglas was the leading scorer for the Mavericks, putting up 17 points. In addition, Makaih Williams contributed 12 points.

At present, the Mavericks’ defense is nationally ranked 183rd, allowing 73.2 points per game. In today’s game vs. Tarleton State, the UT Arlington defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, UT Arlington made 16 free-throws vs. the Mavericks.

Will the Texans Make it Happen at Home?

Tarleton State has a 9-4 record through their first 13 games. In games played on the road, the Texans have a 3-3 record while they are 3-1 at home. Tarleton State holds a winning record against the spread, sitting at 6-4. When playing away from home, the Texans are 4-2 vs. the spread, while they are 2-2 at home ATS.

So far, Tarleton State’s games have averaged 131.9 points per game with the average over/under line being 135.4 points. In their most recent three games, the Texans’ over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 127 points per game.

In their recent matchup, the Tarleton State offense ended with 79 points against Loyola Marymount. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 58.2% and made 4 threes. Jakorie Smith is leading the team in scoring at 14.8 points per contest. Kiandre Gaddy has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 13.3 going into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Tarleton State defense is giving up an average of 63.2 points per contest. Against Loyola Marymount in their most recent game, the Tarleton State defense gave up a total of 66 points while allowing Loyola Marymount to hit 41% of their shots.