The Mavericks and Thunderbirds are set to face off at 8:30 ET on ESPN+. The Thunderbirds will host the game at America First Events Center in Cedar City, UT. The odds for this Western Athletic conference game currently have Southern Utah as the -1 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 158 points.


The Pick: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -1

This game will be played at America First Events Center at 8:30 ET on Thursday, February 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-65 in favor of the Thunderbirds.
  • Not only will Southern Utah pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 158 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Does UT Arlington Have What it Takes on the Road?

UT Arlington comes into this game as the underdog, as they have been for all nine of their games as the underdog this season. Their record as the underdog is 0-9, and they have an average scoring margin of -13.7 points per game on the road.

The Mavericks have lost their last two games, and they are 9-11 overall. In their last game, they lost to Grand Canyon by a score of 67-61. So far, they have gone 4-5 in Western Athletic Conference play.

UT Arlington has a solid ATS record of 12-6 this season, including a road ATS mark of 6-4. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Mavericks are 6-4 vs. the spread.

UT Arlington’s over/under record this season is 12-6, and the average over/under line in their games is 144.8. So far, 15 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line of 158. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

The UT Arlington offense is coming off a game in which they scored 61 points vs. Grand Canyon. Overall their field goal percentage was 36.5% while connecting on 5 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Shemar Wilson, who holds an average of 12.4 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Dajuan Gordon is averaging 11.3 points per game this season.

So far, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 220th in the country at 74.2 points per contest. In today’s game, the UT Arlington defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 67 points.

Do the Thunderbirds Have a Shot at a Home Win?

Heading into this game, Southern Utah is favored by one point. They have a record of 3-1 when they are favored this season. Overall, they have gone 8-12, including 3-3 at home.

After their win over Abilene Christian, Southern Utah has won two straight games. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 6-4.

When looking at Southern Utah’s ATS record this season, they have gone 14-4. The Thunderbirds are 4-2 ATS at home this year and have gone 3-1 vs the spread when favored. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Southern Utah is 5-5 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Southern Utah games is 11-7 and today’s line of 158 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (146.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. For the season, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 158.

Southern Utah’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 82 points vs. Abilene Christian. Overall, they hit 58.5% of their shots from the field and went 15/23 from the free-throw line. Dominick Ford is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17.1 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Zion Young brings a PPG average of 12.9 into the game.

Currently, the Thunderbirds’ defense holds the 279th rank in the nation, allowing 77.5 points per game. So far, the Southern Utah defense is giving up an average of 8.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.9 times per game (482nd).