The Mavericks and Lancers are set to face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lancers will host the game at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center in Riverside, CA. The over/under for this Western Athletic conference contest is set at 140 points, with California Baptist being favored by -3.5 at home against UT Arlington.

UT ARLINGTON MAVERICKS VS CALIFORNIA BAPTIST LANCERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: California Baptist Lancers -3.5

This game will be played at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, February 8th.

WHY BET THE CALIFORNIA BAPTIST LANCERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Lancers.
  • Not only will California Baptist pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can the Mavericks Grab a Win on the Road?

UT Arlington comes into this game with a record of 11-11, including a 6-5 mark in Western Athletic Conference play. Their two-game winning streak has brought their road record to 3-9 this season.

So far, the Mavericks have been the underdog in 10 of their 22 games, going just 1-9 in those contests. They are averaging -9.0 points per game on the road.

As the underdog, UT Arlington has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 6-4. Overall, the Mavericks are 14-6 vs. the spread this year. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-4, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

UT Arlington’s over/under record this season is 13-7 and the average over/under line in their games is 145.6. Today’s line of 140 is lower than the average OU line in their games. So far, 16 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

Coming off their recent game, the UT Arlington offense tallied 87 points in a matchup against Utah Tech. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.7%, and they made 9 threes. Offensively, the Mavericks hold a season-long field goal percentage of 42%, placing them 312nd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 242nd in terms of percentage and 58th in three-pointers made.

On defense, UT Arlington is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 73.5 points per game. So far, the UT Arlington defense is giving up an average of 8.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 15.5 times per game (710th).

Will California Baptist Make it Happen at Home?

California Baptist enters today’s game with a 13-8 record, including a 7-4 mark at home. The Lancers are favored by 3.5 points and have gone 9-4 when favored this season.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Lancers are 7-3, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +5.9 points per game.

As the favorite this season, California Baptist has gone 5-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lancers are just 4-6 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is just 4-7 this year and 3-6 over their last 10 home games.

California Baptist’s over/under record for the season is 8-11 and the average over/under line in their games is 137.9. So far, 12 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line of 140. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points and their over/under record during this span is 1-2.

In contrast to their season average of 68.8 points per game, the California Baptist had a below average performance. They scored 60 points against Seattle and had a field goal percentage of 37.3%. Offensively, the Lancers hold a season-long field goal percentage of 41%, placing them 367th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 289th in terms of percentage and 241st in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the California Baptist defense is giving up an average of 64.3 points per contest. California Baptist will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Seattle to just 37% shooting in their most recent game.