The Mavericks and Wildcats are set to face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Wildcats will host the game at Moody Coliseum (Abilene) in Abilene, TX. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 153.5 points, and the Wildcats are favored to win at home against the Mavericks.


The Pick: Abilene Christian Wildcats -1

This game will be played at Moody Coliseum (Abilene) at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 20th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Not only will Abilene Christian pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 153.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Will the Mavericks Defense Show Up in Abilene?

UT Arlington has struggled on the road this season, going just 1-8 compared to their 6-1 mark at home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -14.0, and they have lost five straight games away from home.

The Mavericks are 0-8 as the underdog this season, and they have gone just 4-3 in Western Athletic Conference play. Overall, they are 9-9, and they have won three straight games.

As the underdog, UT Arlington has gone 5-3 vs. the spread this season and 6-4 over their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 6-3 this year and 7-3 over their last 10 road games.

UT Arlington’s over/under record for the year is 12-4 and today’s line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (143.8). So far, nine of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 156 points.

UT Arlington is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 91 points versus Texas-Rio Grande Valley. This output is higher than their season-average of 74.6 points per game. Shemar Wilson is leading the team in scoring at 12.6 points per contest. Dajuan Gordon has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.1 going into the game.

The Mavericks’ defense is presently ranked 222nd nationally, allowing an average of 74.3 points per contest. So far, the UT Arlington defense is giving up an average of 8.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 15.1 times per game (705th).

Are Abilene Christian Ready for a Home Win?

Abilene Christian enters this game with a 6-11 record, including a 1-5 mark in Western Athletic Conference play. The Wildcats have lost three straight games, and they are currently 2-3 at home this season.

On the year, Abilene Christian has been the favorite in four games, going 2-2 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home this season is -0.8 points per game.

Abilene Christian’s ATS record this season is 7-8, but they have struggled vs. the spread as the favorite. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats are just 2-7-1 vs. the spread.

Abilene Christian’s over/under record for the season is 10-4-1, and today’s line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (144.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 7-2.

Coming off their recent game, the Abilene Christian offense tallied 71 points in a matchup against Tarleton State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 39.3%, and they made 9 threes. One area that the Abilene Christian offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 19th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 43%.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Abilene Christian is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 76.4 points per game (256th). In their previous game vs. Tarleton State, the Texans finished with a field goal percentage of 52% and a total of 79 points vs. Abilene Christian.