Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Spartans and Lancers. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Lancers at Joan Perry Brock Center in Farmville, VA. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this Big South conference contest is set at 139 points, with Longwood being favored by -8.5 at home against USC Upstate.
USC UPSTATE SPARTANS VS LONGWOOD LANCERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: USC Upstate Spartans +8.5
This game will be played at Joan Perry Brock Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 7th.
WHY BET THE USC UPSTATE SPARTANS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-70 in favor of the Lancers.
- Even though we have Longwood winning straight-up, we like USC Upstate at +8.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 139 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Can USC Upstate Secure a Road Victory?
USC Upstate is 7-15 overall and 2-7 in Big South action. They are 2-11 on the road this season, and they have lost six straight games away from home. As the underdog, the Spartans are 3-15 this year.
In their last game, USC Upstate beat Radford by a score of 78-69. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone just 1-9.
USC Upstate has an ATS record of 9-10 this season, including a mark of 6-7 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Spartans have gone 8-10 vs. the spread this year and are 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three games as the underdog. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, USC Upstate has an ATS record of 5-5.
This season, the over/under record for USC Upstate games is 10-9. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 141.7 and today’s line of 139 is lower than that average. Currently, the average scoring total in their games is 144.1 points per game. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 147 points.
USC Upstate is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 78 points vs. Radford. This figure is more than their season average of 71.7 points per game. The top scorer for the Spartans was Trae Broadnax with 19 points, while Justin Bailey also added 14 to the scoreboard.
USC Upstate’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 73.1 points per game. Against Radford in their most recent game, the USC Upstate defense gave up a total of 69 points while allowing Radford to hit 49% of their shots.
Do the Lancers Have a Shot at a Home Win?
Longwood is 14-10 overall this season, but they have lost three straight games. In Big South play, the Lancers are just 2-7, compared to their 12-3 non-conference mark.
At home, Longwood is 7-2 this season, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home. They are 11-5 this season when favored.
Longwood’s ATS record this season is currently 9-12. At home, they are 4-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 3 games as the favorite, the Lancers are 0-3 ATS. Their ATS mark as the favorite this year is 7-9.
This season, the over/under record for Longwood games is 11-10 and today’s over/under line of 139 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (140.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 156 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-1.
Coming off their recent game, the Longwood offense tallied 77 points in a matchup against Charleston Southern. Their field goal percentage for the game was 40.6%, and they made 4 threes. Walyn Napper is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Michael Christmas brings a PPG average of 11.2 into the game.
Longwood’s defense has been playing well, ranking 50th nationally, with 66.4 points allowed per game. Longwood’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Charleston Southern offense to knock down 58% of their shots on their way to putting up 83 points.