USC at No. 24 Arizona State College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-05

The USC Trojans (+2) are heading east to visit their in-conference foe No. 24 Arizona State Sun Devils at Sun Devil Stadium, Frank Kush Field. This important daytime game will begin at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ABC.

USC at No. 24 Arizona State Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Arizona State is favored by 2 points in this Pac-12 game. The Trojans are currently getting +100 moneyline odds while the Sun Devils are -120. The over/under is set at 56 points. It looks like this showdown might have some in-game betting possibilities.

Odds have moved from where they were originally placed, as the line opened at 1. The game’s over/under hasn’t changed after it was initially set at 56.

The Trojans are 5-4 straight up (SU), including 4-2 SU against conference opponents. The Sun Devils are 5-3 SU overall and are also 2-3 SU in conference play. The Trojans have gained 0.3 units this season and are 4-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 4-5.

The Sun Devils have gained 2.6 units this year. They’re 3-5 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-5.

The Trojans came up short to Oregon 56-24 in a blowout where the passing attack wasn’t where it needed to be as Kedon Slovis completed just 32 passes on 57 attempts for 264 yards, three scores and three interceptions. Kenan Christon (79 yards on 15 rush attempts) mounted the ground attack in the loss. Tyler Vaughns (eight receptions, 75 yards) and Michael Pittman Jr. (eight catches, 37 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

Arizona State most-recently lost a 42-32 shootout to UCLA back in Week 9. The defensive unit allowed the Bruins to run for 217 yards on 57 rush attempts, including four rush TDs. Joshua Kelley torched the defense, recording 164 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 34 attempts for UCLA. For Arizona State, Jayden Daniels completed 20-of-29 passes for 267 yards and three touchdowns. Eno Benjamin (46 yards on 13 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Daniels (67 yards on 13 carries, one TD) spearheaded the ground attack in the defeat as Brandon Aiyuk (six receptions, 82 yards) and Frank Darby (six catches, 110 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching attack.

USC has run the ball on 45.8 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 42.7 percent across possessions in conference play. Arizona State has a rush percentage of 55.7 percent, and has carried the ball 53.7 percent of the time against Pac-12 opponents. The Trojans have run for 140 yards per game (including 124 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have 13 scores via handoffs this year. The Sun Devils are totaling 129 rush yards per contest (139 in conference) and have 10 total rushing TDs.

If the results so far this season are any indication, then the Trojans ought to hold an edge when it comes to quarterback protection, as their offensive line has given up only 27 sacks while the D-line logged 29 sacks. The Sun Devils offensive line has given up 16 sacks and their defense has generated only 29 sacks.

The Trojans have averaged 293 yards through the air overall (304 per game versus conference opposition) and have 21 passing scores so far. The Sun Devils have produced 238 pass yards per outing (234.8 against Pac-12 foes) and have 11 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, USC has allowed 184 rush yards and 243 pass yards per game. Arizona State has allowed 114.8 rushing yards per game and 243 to opposing teams in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Trojans have given up an ANY/A of 6.54 to opposing QBs, while the Sun Devils are yielding an ANY/A of 6.48.

Slovis has put up 1,483 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 135-of-197 attempts with 12 passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Slovis has a 6.41 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.67 over the last two outings.

Jayden Daniels has accounted for 1,877 yards, 11 TDs and one INT for Arizona State. His ANY/A sits at 8.89 for the season and 5.57 over his past two games.

These two teams faced off last year with the final outcome being a 38-35 victory for Arizona State.

USC Trojans at Arizona State Sun Devils NCAA Pick

SU Winner – USC, ATS Winner – USC, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

Arizona State has lost five fumbles this season while USC has lost six.

The USC D has 24 sacks on the year while Arizona State has just 15.

As a team, USC has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.0 over its last two.

Arizona State has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.7 over its last two.

In its last three matchups, Arizona State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for USC’s last game going into it was 60. The over cashed in the team’s 56-24 defeat to Oregon.

In its last three contests, USC is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Arizona State’s last matchup was 56.5. The over cashed in that 42-32 loss to UCLA.

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