The Runnin’ Rebels and Lobos are set to face off at 8:00 ET on CBSS. The Lobos will host the game at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM. The odds for this Mountain West conference game currently have New Mexico as the -12 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 153 points.


The Pick: UNLV Runnin’ Rebels +12

This game will be played at The Pit at 8:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Lobos.
  • Even though we have New Mexico winning straight-up, we like UNLV at +12.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 153 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Runnin’ Rebels Grab a Win on the Road?

UNLV enters tonight’s game against New Mexico as 12-point underdogs. So far this season, the Runnin’ Rebels have gone 3-5 when tabbed as the underdog.

Over their last three road games, UNLV has gone 2-1, and over their last 10, they have gone 5-5. On the year, their average scoring differential on the road is +3.2 points per game.

As the underdog, UNLV has an ATS record of 6-2 this season and they have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three games as the underdog. On the road, the Runnin’ Rebels have an ATS mark of 4-1 this year and they have gone 7-3 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

Today’s over/under line of 153 is higher than the average over/under line in UNLV’s games this season (143.4). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 132 points.

Compared to their season average of 75.1 points per game, UNLV struggled in their previous game. Against Wyoming, the Runnin’ Rebels scored 62 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 43.9%. The top scorer for the Runnin’ Rebels was Keylan Boone with 14 points, while Dedan Thomas Jr. also chipped in with 14 points.

The Runnin’ Rebels’ defense is presently ranked 114th nationally, allowing an average of 69.7 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.5 threes per game vs. New Mexico. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.8%.

Can New Mexico Lock in a Home Win?

With a record of 19-4, the New Mexico Lobos have been dominant at home this season, going 10-1. Over their last 10 games at home, the Lobos are 9-1.

For the season, New Mexico has been favored in 19 of their 23 games, going 17-2 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home is +18.9, compared to +8.5 on the road.

As the favorite this season, New Mexico has an ATS record of 15-4. At home, the Lobos are 9-2 vs. the spread and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they have gone 7-3 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 153 is in line with the average over/under line in New Mexico’s games this year (153.1). So far, the over/under record in their games this season is 11-10. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 157 points.

The New Mexico offense is coming off a game in which they scored 91 points vs. Wyoming. Overall their field goal percentage was 45.1% while connecting on 13 threes. Donovan Dent is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 15.7 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, JT Toppin brings a PPG average of 12.7 into the game.

At this time, the Lobos’ defense is positioned 115th in the country, permitting 69.7 points per game. The New Mexico defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 73 points and allowed Wyoming to connect on 6 threes.