At 3:30 ET, the Rebels and Falcons square off at Falcon Stadium in a week 12 NCAAF matchup. TV coverage belongs to CBSS with the game being played on Saturday, November 18th. The odds for this week 12 Mountain West matchup have the Falcons as the 3 point favorites at home. Are they a lock to cover vs. the Rebels? Read on to find out.


The Pick: UNLV Rebels +3

This game will be played at Falcon Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 26-23 in favor of Air Force.
  • Even though we have Air Force winning straight-up, we like UNLV at +3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 47 points, and we like the over with a projected 49 points.

Will UNLV Win on the Road?

So far, the UNLV Rebels are 8-2, including going 3-2 on the road and 4-0 at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Air Force, the Rebels have been favored in five games and the underdog in four. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 8-1.

This season, UNLV has posted an over/under record of 5-4 through 10 games. On average their games have combined for 60.7 points.

In the rushing game, the Rebels are currently 12th in college football with 419 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 196 rushing yards per game, putting them 21st nationally. Their passing game has averaged 27.3 passes and 225.9 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 18th, averaging 36.4 points per game.

The Rebels defense will take the field with 23 sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 24.3 points per game (88th). Against the pass, the team is 146th in the NCAA, allowing 256.8 passing yards per game. Additionally, UNLV’s run defense has 125.2 rushing yards per contest.

Can Air Force Lock in a Home Win?

So far, the Air Force Falcons are 8-2, including going 3-1 on the road and 3-1 at home.

Having been favored in all of their games so far, the Falcons have a 4-3-1 vs. the spread. Air Force’s average scoring margin for the season is +12.8 points per game.

In 10 games played, the average over/under line for Air Force’s games has been set at 42 points. These contests have seen an average combined score of 44.2 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-4.

The Falcons come into their matchup vs. UNLV 1st in college football at 535 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 275.8 rushing yards per game, placing them 2nd nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 7.3 times each game, accumulating an average of 86.9 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 52nd, with 28.5 points per game.

As we head into this week’s game, the Air Force defense ranks 53rd for points allowed, with an average of 15.7 points per game. Teams have been gaining 159.3 passing yards per game against them (17th nationally). Against the run, they’ve given up 87.8 rushing yards, placing them 12th in college football.