UNLV at Colorado State NCAA Football Prediction

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UNLV at Colorado State NCAA Football Prediction

Last Updated: 2017-03-06

The MWC’s second-leading passer, Nick Stevens (1,811 yards, 15 TDs), will be on display when the Colorado State Rams take on the Nevada-Las Vegas Rebels. Colorado State (4-5) has won two of its last three, showing signs of life in what has been a relatively disappointing season. Players will take the field Saturday, Nov 14 at 7:00 p.m. ET and the game will air on ROOT.

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In last week’s game, Colorado State beat Wyoming 26-7. Kivon Cartwright had a solid performance in the win, recording four receptions for 56 yards. UNLV also got the win in last week’s performance, crushing Hawaii 41-21. Devonte Boyd had a huge game for the Rebels, hauling in six passes for 120 yards and one TD. Lexington Thomas had a big game as well, totaling 120 rushing yards and a TD on 17 attempts.

The Rebels are a six-point underdog against the Rams and the Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at 58 points. For updated lines, check out BTB’s College Football Odds.

The Rams enter the game with a record of 4-5 Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS) this season. In their five most recent matchups, the Rams went 2-3 for both SU and ATS. The Rebels could have a difficult time throwing the ball against the 22nd-best pass defense in the nation. The Rams give up 185 yards per game through the air.

As for their opponent, the Rebels have 3-6 SU and 5-4 ATS records this season. The Rebels went 2-3 for both SU and ATS over the last five games. Chances are UNLV will rely on its run game against a defense that allows 204.6 rushing yards per game, ranking 107th in the nation. Moving on to the UNLV defense, there are certain areas where it measures up well against the Rams. The Rams need to hold on to the ball if they want a shot against the turnover-minded Rebels. The UNLV defense generates two turnovers per game, 17th in the country. The Rebels may take advantage of Colorado State’s habit of taking it easy on their opponents down the stretch. The Rams allow nine points in the final 15 minutes of regulation. Don’t be surprised to hear lots of calls against the Rams when they take the field. Colorado State is among the most penalized teams in the country, receiving an average of 8.9 penalties per game.

Predictions: SU Winner – Nevada-Las Vegas, ATS Winner – Nevada-Las Vegas, O/U – Over

Notes

UNLV is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of UNLV’s last 6 games.

UNLV is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of UNLV’s last 7 games on the road.

UNLV is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Colorado State.

UNLV is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing Colorado State.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of UNLV’s last 6 games when playing Colorado State.

UNLV is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado State.

UNLV is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado State.

UNLV is 3-1 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. Colorado State is 4-0 SU when leading after three quarters.

Remarkably, Colorado State is only 1-5 SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, yet undefeated (3-0 SU) when losing the turnover battle.

Per FBS ratings, Colorado State has an advantage in the passing game. Its offensive passing game (ranked 58th in the country) will face the 98th-ranked pass defense of UNLV, while its 22nd-ranked pass defense will look to limit the 96th-ranked aerial attack of the Rebels.

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