Looking to win big? The Spartans and Bulldogs face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bulldogs are hosting the game at Pete Hanna Center in Homewood, AL. The odds for this Southern conference game currently have the Bulldogs as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 151.5 points.


The Pick: Samford Bulldogs -4

This game will be played at Pete Hanna Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Not only will Samford pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Will the Spartans Defense Show Up in Homewood?

UNCG comes into this game with an 11-4 record and a two-game winning streak. They are 2-0 in Southern Conference play and 9-4 in non-conference games. On the road, the Spartans are just 3-4 this season, and they have lost their last three games away from home.

Overall, UNCG has been the underdog in four of their 15 games, going 1-3 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -4.0 points per game.

As the underdog this season, UNCG has gone 1-3 vs. the spread. On the road, the Spartans’ ATS mark is 3-4 this year, and they have gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last three road games. Overall, UNCG’s ATS record is 5-8 this season.

So far this season, the over/under record for UNCG games is 8-5. The average over/under line in their games is 143 and their games have averaged 143.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and those games have averaged 126 points.

Coming off their recent game, the UNCG offense tallied 70 points in a matchup against East Tennessee State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.7%, and they made 9 threes. Mikeal Brown-Jones is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 18.6 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Keyshaun Langley brings a PPG average of 14.2 into the game.

The Spartans’ defense is presently ranked 109th nationally, allowing an average of 68.9 points per contest. Against East Tennessee State in their most recent game, the UNCG defense gave up a total of 54 points while allowing East Tennessee State to hit 46% of their shots.

Can Samford Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Samford comes into today’s game as the favorite, and they have been the favorite in all 10 of their games this season. They are 10-0 as the favorite, and they have gone 7-0 at home.

Samford has been dominant at home this season, going 10-0. Their average margin of victory at home is +18.3 points per game. The Bulldogs have won their last 10 games overall, and they are 13-2 on the season.

Samford has been a strong team against the spread this season with an 8-4 record. At home, their ATS mark is 5-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have gone 8-2 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Samford’s games this season (153.8). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 152 points.

Against Citadel, the Samford had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 89.5 points per game. They scored 80 points and posted a field goal percentage of 51.6% in the game. Achor Achor was the leading scorer for the Bulldogs, putting up 19 points. In addition, Jaden Campbell contributed 11 points.

At this time, the Bulldogs’ defense is positioned 215th in the country, permitting 74.2 points per game. Samford’s three-point defense is currently 77th in the country at 6.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 39.0% of their shots vs. Samford.