Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Spartans versus the Bears? Tip off is at at 4:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Hawkins Arena in Macon, GA. In this Southern matchup, UNCG is favored by -4.5 vs. Mercer. The over/under for the game is 136.5 points.


The Pick: Mercer Bears +4.5

This game will be played at Hawkins Arena at 4:30 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bears.
  • Not only will Mercer pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Are the Spartans Ready for a Road Win?

UNCG heads into this Southern Conference showdown with a record of 20-8 this season, including an 11-4 mark in conference play. The Spartans are coming off a 71-65 win over Western Carolina, and they have won three straight games.

On the road, UNCG is 9-5 this season and has a scoring margin of +1.1 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 6-4.

When looking at UNCG’s ATS record this season, they are currently 12-14. However, their record vs. the spread when favored is only 8-10. Over their last 3 games as the favorite, the Spartans are 3-0 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for UNCG games is 15-11 and today’s over/under line of 136.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (142.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 125 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2.

In their most recent game, the Spartans’ offense tallied 71 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.8 points per game. Mikeal Brown-Jones is leading the team in scoring at 19.7 points per contest. Keyshaun Langley has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.9 going into the game.

At present, the Spartans’ defense is nationally ranked 109th, allowing 69.6 points per game. So far, the UNCG defense is giving up an average of 8.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.2 times per game (432nd).

Can the Bears Lock in a Home Win?

At home this season, Mercer is 7-5, and they have won their last four games at home. Overall, they are 13-15, and they have won two games in a row. As the underdog, Mercer is 5-10 this season.

In their last game, Mercer beat Citadel, 87-78. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 6-4, and their record in the Southern Conference is 6-9 this season.

As the underdog, Mercer has gone 8-7 vs. the spread this season. At home, the Bears are 8-4 ATS and have a perfect 3-0 record vs. the spread in their last three home games. Overall, Mercer’s ATS mark is 13-11-1 for the year.

On the season, the over/under record for Mercer sits at 13-10-2, and the average scoring total in their games is 141 points. Today’s over/under line of 136.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (139.8). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 156 points.

Mercer’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Citadel, finishing the game with a total of 87 points. Their season average is now 70.1 points per game. Jalyn McCreary is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 15.6 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Jake Davis brings a PPG average of 9.1 into the game.

The Bears’ defense is presently ranked 151st nationally, allowing an average of 71.2 points per contest. The Mercer defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 78 points and allowed Citadel to connect on 4 threes.