Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Spartans versus the Bulldogs? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at McAlister Field House in Charleston, SC. In this Southern matchup, UNCG is favored by -4.5 vs. Citadel. The over/under for the game is 136 points.


The Pick: Citadel Bulldogs +4.5

This game will be played at McAlister Field House at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 14th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Not only will Citadel pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Spartans Find a Way to Win in Charleston?

UNCG is favored by 4.5 points in this game. They have a record of 17-8 this season and have gone 8-4 in Southern Conference games. Over their last 10 road games, the Spartans have gone 6-4.

UNCG’s average scoring margin on the road this season is -0.8 points per game. They have gone 7-5 on the road compared to 8-3 at home. The Spartans have won their last four games on the road.

As the favorite this season, UNCG has struggled against the spread, going just 5-10. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans are only 3-7 vs. the spread. On the road, UNCG has an ATS mark of 6-6 this year and they are 2-1 ATS in their last 3 road games.

So far this season, the over/under record in UNCG games is 14-9 and the average scoring total in their games is 146 points. Today’s over/under line of 136 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (143). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 157 points.

The UNCG offense is coming off a game in which they scored 61 points vs. Chattanooga. Overall their field goal percentage was 37.3% while connecting on 13 threes. The top scorer for the Spartans was Mikeal Brown-Jones with 25 points, while Keyshaun Langley also chipped in with 12 points.

On defense, UNCG is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.1 points per game. The UNCG defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 89 points and allowed Chattanooga to connect on 13 threes.

Will the Bulldogs Win at McAlister Field House?

As the underdog, Citadel has gone 1-15 this season. They have an average scoring differential of -6.3 on the road, where they are 2-11 this season. Their record at home is 4-5, and they are coming off a 77-64 loss to Wofford.

So far this season, Citadel has a record of 9-16. They have lost five straight games and have a 1-11 record in Southern Conference play. Their record outside the conference is 8-5.

As the underdog, Citadel has gone 7-8-1 vs. the spread this season and their overall ATS record is 11-10-1. At home, they are 5-3-1 vs. the spread this year and their last 10 games as the underdog, their ATS mark is 4-5-1.

On the season, the over/under record for Citadel games is 8-12-2 and today’s line of 136 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (139.9). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points.

Against Wofford, the Citadel had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 70.2 points per game. They scored 64 points and posted a field goal percentage of 45.7% in the game. On the offensive front, the Bulldogs have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, ranking 179th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 256th in terms of percentage and 287th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Bulldogs’ defense is positioned 116th in the country, permitting 70.2 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.3 threes per game vs. UNCG. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.5%.