Last Updated: 2017-03-06
The UNC Wilmington Seahawks (20-6) visit Charleston to play the Cougars (16-10) in a matchup that pits the Colonial Athletic’s eighth-ranked offense against the top-ranked defense. The game starts at 6:00 pm ET on Saturday, Feb. 20.
The Cougars lost a tough one against Delaware 62-59 on Thursday. Cameron Johnson finished with 15 points to lead the team. The Seahawks are coming off an awful 87-69 loss at the hands of William & Mary on Thursday. Denzel Ingram played well for UNC Wilmington, recording 12 points, five assists, and four rebounds.
Based on each team’s statistical profile, the turnover story could loom large in this showdown. UNC Wilmington commits the 20th-fewest errors in the nation (TO% of 15.6%), while the gambling defense of Charleston causes the 20th-most (opponents’ TO% of 22.2%).
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Seahawks won the first game 65-55. Chris Flemmings was a top performer in the victory with 25 points, five rebounds, one steal, one block, and four three-pointers.
The Cougars look to build on their records of 16-10 Straight Up (SU) and 10-13 Against The Spread (ATS). Charleston has averaged 78.9 points per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 66.2. Charleston has been struggling of late. The Cougars have given up an average of 74.0 points to opponents in their last 10 games, well over their defense’s season average of 61.6 PPG. Teams really have to fight for three-pointers against the Cougars, who have allowed only 5.0 three-pointers to opponents per game.
Across the court, UNC Wilmington has a SU record of 20-6 and an ATS record of 12-10. The Seahawks will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their most recent 10 games, their scoring has dropped to 58.8 PPG, compared to 66.2 for the duration of the season. The last 10 games have really brought out the best of the Seahawks on the defensive end. They’ve allowed 55.1 points per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 72.5. UNC Wilmington’s three-point defense is one of the top in the country, with opponents making only 5.0 shots from the three-point line per game.
UNC Wilmington won the last meeting this season between these two teams, bringing its SU record in their most recent games to 6-4. Additionally, UNC Wilmington leads the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4. Neither Charleston nor UNC Wilmington has led in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers) over their most recent five games.
For updated lines, check out BTB’s College Basketball Odds.
Predictions: SU Winner – NC-Wil, ATS Winner – NC-Wil
“UNC Wilmington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games “.
“UNC Wilmington is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 8 of UNC Wilmington’s last 12 games “.
“UNC Wilmington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road”.
“UNC Wilmington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road”.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of UNC Wilmington’s last 7 games on the road”.
“UNC Wilmington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing College of Charleston”.
“UNC Wilmington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing College of Charleston”.
“The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNC Wilmington’s last 5 games when playing College of Charleston”.
“UNC Wilmington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against College of Charle”.
UNC Wilmington sits at 12-3 SU against its conference rivals, while Charleston is 8-7 SU.
Charleston has allowed an average of 57.8 points per home game this season. UNC Wilmington averages 77.8 points per away game, ranking 26th in scoring.
Ranked 17th, the Charleston Cougars have one of the top defenses in the country, giving up just 94.8 points per 100 possessions. The UNC Wilmington Seahawks rank 52nd in offense, scoring 112.2 points in the same number of possessions.
The Charleston Cougars average a field goal percentage of 42.9% this season. The UNC Wilmington Seahawks have a solid 10-4 record in games where opponents have a FG% of 42.9% or greater.
The Charleston Cougars rank lower for their field goal percentage (240th) than they do for their effective field goal percentage (225th), but the UNC Wilmington Seahawks have a better FG% ranking (102nd) than eFG% ranking (125th).
UNC Wilmington ranks 63rd in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.26. Charleston is ranked lower at 234th with an A/TO of .97.
UNC Wilmington, the 73rd-ranked team in rebounding, registers an average of 38.4 rebounds per game. Charleston does worse, ranked 253rd with 34.8.
Charleston makes 7.2 steals per game. In games where it gives up 7 or more steals, UNC Wilmington is undefeated at 7-0.