The Bulldogs and Lancers are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lancers will host the game at Joan Perry Brock Center in Farmville, VA. UNC Asheville come into this Big South conference matchup as the -1 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 147.5 points.

UNC ASHEVILLE BULLDOGS VS LONGWOOD LANCERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Longwood Lancers +1

This game will be played at Joan Perry Brock Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.

WHY BET THE LONGWOOD LANCERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Lancers.
  • Not only will Longwood pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can UNC Asheville Live Up to the Hype on the Road?

UNC Asheville has been a much better team at home this season, as they are 9-3 compared to 7-6 on the road. They have also been the favorite in 14 of their 28 games, going 13-1 in those contests.

Overall, the Bulldogs are 19-9, including a 11-2 record in Big South Conference action. They have won five straight games, and in their most recent contest, they defeated Charleston Southern by a score of 86-55.

When looking at UNC Asheville’s ATS record this season, they are currently 13-12. In games where they have been favored, their ATS mark is 8-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

UNC Asheville’s over/under record this season is 14-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 152.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 147.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (149.6) and 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3.

UNC Asheville’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 86 points against Charleston Southern. They had an overall field goal percentage of 52.4% and made 10/16 free throws. Currently leading the team in scoring is Drew Pember who comes into today’s matchup averaging 20.9. Josh Banks also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.

UNC Asheville’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 73.3 points per game. In their most recent game, the UNC Asheville defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Charleston Southern knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 55 points.

Is a Home Win Possible for Longwood?

Longwood enters this game as a slight underdog, with a record of 16-11. They have gone 4-8 in Big South play, and their win streak is at two games.

So far, they have gone 8-3 at home, compared to 5-8 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +6.6, while it is +1.2 on the road.

As the underdog, Longwood has gone just 2-3 against the spread this season. Their overall ATS record is 11-13, including a mark of 5-6 at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Lancers are 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Longwood is 13-11, and today’s over/under line of 147.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (140.4). So far, 16 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 148 points.

Longwood finished with 81 points in their game against Presbyterian. This total surpasses their season-average of 75.2 points per game. The top scorer for the Lancers was Walyn Napper with 26 points, while DA Houston also added 15 to the scoreboard.

This season, the Longwood defense has been impressive, holding the 64th position in the country while permitting an average of 67.2 points per contest. In today’s game vs. UNC Asheville, the Longwood defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Longwood made 17 free-throws vs. the Lancers.