Planning on watching today’s Retrievers and Catamounts game? Catch the action at Patrick Gymnasium in Burlington, VT, as the Catamounts hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPNU. The odds for this America East conference game currently have the Catamounts as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 153.5 points.
UMBC RETRIEVERS VS VERMONT CATAMOUNTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UMBC Retrievers +16.5
This game will be played at Patrick Gymnasium at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE UMBC RETRIEVERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Catamounts.
- Even though we have Vermont winning straight-up, we like UMBC at +16.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 153.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.
Do the Retrievers Stand a Chance on the Road?
UMBC will look to snap their six-game losing streak when they take on Vermont as 16.5-point underdogs. So far this season, UMBC is 5-11, including a 0-1 record in America East play.
On the road, UMBC has struggled this season, going just 1-7 and being outscored by an average of 11.9 points per game. Their record as an underdog is 3-8, compared to 1-3 as the favorite.
UMBC has an ATS record of 7-8 this season and they are 4-4 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Retrievers have gone 6-5 vs. the spread this year and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog. Over their last 3 road games, UMBC has an ATS mark of 2-1.
UMBC’s over/under record this season is 11-4, and their games have had an average of 162.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (155.7). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 167 points.
In their latest game, UMBC offense put up 67 points against Bryant. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 37.7% and made 8 threes. The team’s top scorer is Dion Brown, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 16.8, while Khydarius Smith also carries a PPG average of 12.9 into the game.
Facing Vermont, UMBC aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 83.8 points allowed per game (315th). The UMBC defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 81 points and allowed Bryant to connect on 8 threes.
Can Vermont Pull Off a Home Win?
After winning their last game against Maine, Vermont has now won two straight games. The Catamounts have been especially tough to beat at home, as they have gone 5-1 at home this season.
Overall, Vermont has gone 11-5 this season, including a 1-0 record in America East play. They have been favored in nine of their 16 games, going 7-2 in those contests.
As the favorite, Vermont has struggled against the spread this season, going just 2-7 vs. the spread. Their ATS record at home is just 1-5 and they have gone 0-3 ATS in their last 3 home games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Catamounts are just 3-7 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Vermont games is 5-8-1. The average scoring total in their games this year is 135.6 points, which is 1.7 points lower than the average over/under line of 137.3. Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this year and higher than the average OU line in their games this year. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1 and the average scoring total is 134 points.
In their most recent game, the Vermont offense concluded with only 65 points against Maine. Throughout the game, they made 3/17 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 43.9%. The team’s top scorer is TJ Long, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 12.8, while Matt Veretto also carries a PPG average of 11.7 into the game.
Currently, the Catamounts’ defense holds the 34th rank in the nation, allowing 64.5 points per game. So far, the Vermont defense is giving up an average of 6.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8.4 times per game (349th).