Looking to win big? The Retrievers and Black Bears face off at 6:00 ET on ESPN+. The Black Bears are hosting the game at Memorial Gymnasium (ME) in Orono, ME. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 152.5 points, and Maine is favored by -5.5 to win at home against UMBC.


The Pick: Maine Black Bears -5.5

This game will be played at Memorial Gymnasium (ME) at 6:00 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Black Bears.
  • Not only will Maine pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Will the Retrievers Win on the Road?

UMBC comes into this game with a 9-18 record, following their 80-75 win over Albany. On the road, UMBC has gone 3-10, while at home they are 5-8. UMBC has a winning record against the spread, sitting at 15-11. In their last ten games, UMBC is 4-1 vs. the spread.

UMBC’s games have, on average, featured 162.1 points per game leading to an over/under record of 16-10-0. Their average over/under line is currently 157.9 points so far. The Retrievers’ last five games have finished with a combined 170 points per game and an over/under record of 3-2.

In their latest game, UMBC’s offense looked good, scoring 80 points against Albany. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 50.9% and made 16/20 free throws. For the season, the UMBC offense has struggled to get to the free-throw line, ranking just 324th in terms of free-throw attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 46%.

So far, the Retrievers’ defense is ranked 334th in the country at 82.5 points per contest. So far, the UMBC defense is giving up an average of 10.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 13.4 times per game (686th).

Do the Black Bears Stand a Chance at Home?

Maine comes into their 27th game of the season with a record of 11-15. They have a 6-11 record on the road and are 4-4 at home. Maine’s ATS performance stands at 13-12 heading into today’s game. In their last ten games, Maine has gone 3-2 vs. the spread.

In 26 games, Maine comes in with an over/under mark of 11-14-0, with their games averaging 133.4 points per game. The Black Bears have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 130 points per game.

Compared to their season average of 67.6 points per game, Maine struggled in their previous game. Against Vermont, the Black Bears scored 57 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 36.8%. The team’s scoring leader is Peter Filipovity, who holds an average of 13.3 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Kellen Tynes is averaging 13.1 points per game this season.

This season, the Maine defense has been impressive, holding the 63rd position in the country while permitting an average of 67.3 points per contest. Against Vermont in their most recent game, the Maine defense gave up a total of 68 points while allowing Vermont to hit 36% of their shots.