Looking to win big? The Retrievers and Bearcats face off at 6:07 ET on ESPN+. The Bearcats are hosting the game at Events Center (Binghamton) in Binghamton, NY. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 155.5 points, and Binghamton is favored by -4.5 to win at home against UMBC.


The Pick: Binghamton Bearcats -4.5

This game will be played at Events Center (Binghamton) at 6:07 ET on Thursday, February 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Bearcats.
  • Not only will Binghamton pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 155.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Is a Road Win Possible for the Retrievers?

UMBC comes into this game as a 4.5-point underdog, and they have a 5-14 record as the underdog this season. The Retrievers have lost two straight games, and they are just 2-8 in America East Conference play.

On the road, UMBC is just 2-10 this season, and they have an average scoring margin of -8.0 points per game. In their last game, the Retrievers lost to Vermont by a score of 72-70.

As the underdog this season, UMBC has gone 12-7 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-4 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. In their last 3 road games, the Retrievers are 3-0 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for UMBC games is 15-9 and the average scoring total in their games is 162.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 155.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (157.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 177 points and their OU record in those games is 2-1. For the season, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

In their recent matchup, the UMBC offense ended with 70 points against Vermont. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 48.3% and made 8 threes. Dion Brown is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 18.9. Meanwhile, Marcus Banks Jr. also brings a PPG average of 13.5 into the game.

Currently, the Retrievers’ defense holds the 328th rank in the nation, allowing 83.0 points per game. Against Vermont in their most recent game, the UMBC defense gave up a total of 72 points while allowing Vermont to hit 48% of their shots.

Do the Bearcats Stand a Chance at Home?

Through 23 games this season, Binghamton has a record of 11-12. In the America East, they have gone 3-7, compared to 8-5 in non-conference play.

At home, the Bearcats have gone 6-3, compared to 3-9 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +3.0, compared to -11.7 on the road.

As the favorite this season, Binghamton has a solid ATS mark of 5-2. Their overall ATS record is 11-10. At home, the Bearcats are 5-4 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Binghamton is 7-3 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 155.5 is much higher than the average over/under line in Binghamton’s games this season (143.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 125 points, which is significantly lower than today’s OU line. So far this year, their over/under record is 9-11-1.

In their previous game, the Bearcats’ offense finished with 69 points, which is right in line with their current average of 71.2 points per contest. Leading Binghamton in scoring vs. Bryant was Tymu Chenery with his 18 points. Dan Petcash also added 17 points for the Bearcats.

In terms of defense, Binghamton is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.3 points per game. In today’s game vs. UMBC, the Binghamton defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Binghamton made 23 free-throws vs. the Bearcats.