The kickoff for this week 12 matchup between the Minutemen and Flames takes place at 1:00 ET at Williams Stadium (VA). ESPN+ will be carrying the television coverage for this UMASS vs. LIBRTY shodown. Liberty arrives for this non-conference game against the Flames as the 27.5 point road favorite. Keep reading to find out my insights and suggestions for your bets.


The Pick: UMass Minutemen +27.5

This game will be played at Williams Stadium (VA) at 1:00 ET on Saturday, November 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 45-18 in favor of Liberty.
  • Even though we have Liberty winning straight-up, we like UMass at +27.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 62 points, and we like the over with a projected 63 points.

Can the Minutemen Lock in a Road Win?

This season, the UMass Minutemen are currently 3-7. So far this season, they have played five road games and four at home.

Against the spread, UMass has gone 4-5 this season. The Minutemen have been favored two times compared to seven games as the underdog.

UMass has put together an over/under record of 6-3 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 60.9 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 51.2 points.

UMass comes into the game with an offense averaging 23.5, which places them at 77th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 90th nationally, with an average of 204.6 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 70th in the nation, with 342 rushing attempts per game for the season.

This season, the Minutemen’s defense has allowed 210.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 52nd. Opponents average 207.5 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 96.6 against UMass. They hold the 4th position in NCAA points allowed.

Will the Flames Make it Happen at Home?

Liberty carries a 10-0 record into this week’s game. This season, they’ve had three away games and five home contests.

While being favored in all of their games so far this season, Liberty is 7-1 against the spread. The team comes into the game with an average scoring margin of +18.3.

So far in this season, Liberty has posted an over/under record of 5-3. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 59.7 points, with the typical over/under line set at 56.3 points.

On the ground, the Flames are 3rd in college football at 474 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 279.1 (1st). So far, they have turned to the passing game 21.9 and have a per game average of 218.4. Overall, they are 11th in points (39 PPG).

Looking at this week’s game, the Liberty defense stands at 74th in points allowed, permitting 20.7 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 233 passing yards per game against them (103rd). On the ground, they’re conceding 114.4 rushing yards, ranking them 35th in college football.