Looking to win big? The Flames and Redbirds face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Redbirds are hosting the game at CEFCU Arena in Normal, IL. The over/under for this game is set at 134.5 points, and Illinois State is favored by -4.5 vs. UIC in a Missouri Valley conference matchup.


The Pick: Illinois State Redbirds -4.5

This game will be played at CEFCU Arena at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Redbirds.
  • Not only will Illinois State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Do the Flames Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

UIC comes into this game with an overall record of 8-15. They have lost eight games in a row and have gone 1-11 in Missouri Valley Conference play. On the road, the Flames are 3-8 this season, and they are 4-5 when they are the underdog.

In their last game, UIC lost to Southern Illinois by a score of 74-71. Over their last 10 road games, the Flames have gone 3-7, and they have lost their last six games away from home.

As the underdog this season, UIC has gone 6-7 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-6 and their last three road games have resulted in an 0-3 ATS mark.

On the season, the over/under record for UIC games is 8-14 and today’s line of 134.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (139.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2. So far, 10 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line of 134.5.

Coming off their recent game, the UIC offense tallied 71 points in a matchup against Southern Illinois. Their field goal percentage for the game was 44.4%, and they made 6 threes. The top scorer for the Flames was Isaiah Rivera with 28 points, while Christian Jones also chipped in with 8 points.

So far, the Flames’ defense is ranked 92nd in the country at 68.7 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, UIC’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.6% this season.

Can Illinois State Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Illinois State will be looking to bounce back from a 73-60 loss to Bradley. The Redbirds are 7-5 at home this season, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.

Overall, Illinois State is 11-12, and they are 5-7 in Missouri Valley Conference play. They have been the favorite in 10 games this season, and they have gone 6-4 in those contests.

Overall this season, Illinois State has an ATS record of 9-13. At home, their ATS mark is 6-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Redbirds are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Illinois State’s games this season (140). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 121 points.

Most recently, the Illinois State offense finished with just 60 points vs. Bradley. For the game, they hit 8/16 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 43.1%. Leading the team in scoring is Darius Burford, who is averaging 13.2 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Myles Foster also maintains a PPG average of 10.8 heading into game.

Illinois State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 82nd nationally, with 67.8 points allowed per game. Against Bradley, the Redbirds’ defense gave up 73 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Bradley only made 8 free-throws.