Last Updated: 2017-09-06
Demetrious Johnson will look to make history on Saturday night at UFC 215 in Edmonton, as he goes for his 11th straight title defense which would break the record he currently shares with Anderson Silva. Johnson is a huge favorite to defeat Ray Borg on Saturday in Edmonton in the main event at UFC 215 at odds of -1200. The other feature bout in the pay-per-view card has Amanda Nunes defending her bantamweight title against Valentina Shevchenko. Let’s look at the UFC 215 card with a focus on the top two fights and UFC picks.
UFC 215 takes place at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta on Saturday, September 9, 2017. The five-fight main pay-per-view card features Demetrious Johnson vs. Ray Borg and Amanda Nunes vs. Valentina Shevchenko.
Demetrious Johnson -1200 vs. Ray Borg (rounds 4.5 under -120)
Johnson is probably the most unheralded UFC champion in history. He almost never gets the credit he deserves. He has won his last 12 fights overall and he has defended his title 10 straight times. He can break Anderson Silva’s record for most successful title defenses if he wins against Borg. Johnson is simply outstanding in every area. He has a record of 26-2-1 with 10 wins by submission. Johnson has 65 takedowns in his career, fourth-most in UFC history.
Borg is 11-2 in his career but he has never fought someone like Johnson and this will be only the second five-round fight for Borg in his career. Borg does have strength but Johnson has the edge in reach and in speed. Borg is unlikely to get a submission or a knockout against Johnson, so his only chance would be to win by decision. That seems extremely unlikely, considering Johnson has more experience, more speed and more endurance.
I can’t lay 12-1 on Johnson but he should win this fight. I do think there is some value in taking the rounds over, as there is a good chance this fight goes to a decision.
Valentina Shevchenko -125 vs. Amanda Nunes (rounds 2.5 over -135)
These two were supposed to meet at UFC 213 but Nunes backed out at the last minute. Nunes has won seven fights in the division and rarely do her fights last long. She has 14 career wins, with 11 fights ending in the first round.
Shevchenko is 14-2 in her career with the two losses coming to Nunes and Liz Carmouche. The loss by Shevchenko to Nunes occurred in March of last year. Nunes did win by unanimous decision but it wasn’t easy, as Nunes was in serious trouble in the third round. This time around the fight is scheduled to go five rounds and that could be the edge Shevchenko needs.
This is a really tough fight to call, as I think Nunes will have the edge early and have a chance to finish Shevchenko but if the fight gets out of the second round then Shevchenko will have the edge. I think the best options would be to take Nunes to win by knockout or submission which should offer you odds of 2-1 or more than then also take the rounds to go over.
The other three fights on the main card have Rafael dos Anjos vs. Neil Magny, Jeremy Stephens vs. Gilbert Melendez and Ilir Latifi vs. Tyson Pedro. The preliminary card has four fights on FS1. Those are Sara McMann vs. Ketlen Vieira, Henry Cejudo vs. Wilson Reis, Sarah Moras vs. Ashlee Evans-Smith and Gavin Tucker vs. Rick Glenn. The three prelims on UFC Fight Pass are Mitch Clarke vs. Alex White, Luis Henrique vs. Arjan Bhullar and Kajan Johnson vs. Adriano Martins.
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