UEFA Champions League Finals – Tottenham vs. Liverpool Free Pick & Preview 6/1/19

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The 2018-19 UEFA Champions league will close down Saturday, June 1, 2019, when Tottenham meets Liverpool at Wanda Metropolitano in Madrid, Spain, to decide who will lift the trophy and become the European champion. Tottenham will play its first final in club’s history, while Liverpool made it this far for the second straight year, and the Reds will look for their sixth title. This will be the second-ever all-English final, so the English team will win the Champions League for the first time since 2012. If the Spurs win, they will become the sixth team in the history with all three major European titles.

Tottenham and Liverpool will close down the 64th edition of the European major competition known as Champions League since 1992-93 season. We saw 364 goals in 124 games this season including the qualifying rounds which is 2.94 per contest on average. There were 28 contests in the total in the knock-out phase and 18 of these 28 games had three or more goals in the total, while on 13 occasions both teams found the net.

Tottenham vs. Liverpool

Three-way: 1: Tottenham +330; X: +260 Draw; 2: Liverpool -105

Spread +0.5: Tottenham -105; Liverpool -105

Total 2.5 Goals: Over -110; Under -110

Both Teams to Score: Yes -133; No +100

To Win Outright: Tottenham +162; Liverpool -200

TOTTENHAM

The Spurs finished their English Premier League campaign at the 4th spot of the table with 71 points out of 38 games and a 67:39 goal difference, 26 points behind Liverpool but still enough to clinch the Champions League place for the next season. They won just one of their last five contests in all competitions along with three losses and a tie, scoring five goals in the process and conceding seven in a return. The Spurs eliminated Borussia Dortmund 4-0 on aggregate in the Champions League Round of 16, while they barely knocked out Manchester City on away goals in the quarterfinals. Tottenham overcame Ajax in the semifinals also on away goals, despite losing the first leg 1-0 at home and trailing by two goals at halftime of the second leg in Amsterdam. The Spurs bagged three goals in the second half, and Lucas Moura was their hero with a hat-trick including the winning goal in the dying moments of the clash.

Striker Harry Kane is leading the way for the Spurs with 24 goals in 39 appearances in all competitions, and he netted five times in eight Champions League games. Kane will return from an ankle injury which is a huge boost for the Spurs. Forward Heung-Min Son scored 20 goals along with ten assists in 47 outings this season, while Lucas Moura added 15 goals in 48 apps. Christian Eriksen is the team’s best assist-maker with 17 dishes in 50 games, while the 27-year old playmaker also bagged ten goals in all competitions. The manager Mauricio Pochettino cannot count on midfielder Harry Winks (groin), but all other guys are ready to go.

Betting Trends:

  • Tottenham lost five of its last eight games overall along with two wins and a draw
  • Both teams scored in three of the previous ten contests overall
  • Six of the last ten games had fewer than three goals in the total

LIVERPOOL

The Reds ended their English Premier League campaign at the 2nd spot of the table with 97 points out of 38 games and an 89:22 goal difference, just one point behind Manchester City. They won 13 of the last 15 contests in all competitions along with one loss and a draw, keeping their net intact seven times in the process. The Reds knocked out Bayern Munich 3-1 on aggregate in the Champions League Round of 16, while they eliminated Porto 6-1 on aggregate in the quarterfinals. Liverpool made a huge comeback in the semis, defeating Barcelona 4-0 in the second leg at home after a 3-0 defeat in the first leg in Spain.

Forward Mohamed Salah is leading the way for the Reds with 26 goals and 13 assists in 51 apps in all competitions, and he scored four goals in 11 Champions League games. Winger Sadio Mane also bagged 26 goals in 49 outings, while striker Roberto Firmino added 16 goals and eight assists in 47 appearances. Full-back Trent Alexander-Arnold is the team’s best assist-maker with 16 dishes in 39 games, while another full-back Andrew Robertson made 13 assists in 47 outings. The manager Jurgen Klopp can count on all his players besides midfielder Naby Keita who’s still recovering from a groin injury.

Betting Trends:

  • Liverpool won 13 of its last 15 games overall along with a loss and a draw
  • Both teams scored in three of the last ten games overall
  • Ten of the last 14 contests had three or more goals in the total

Match Prediction

These two foes have met each other twice this season, and Liverpool has defeated Tottenham 2-1 on both occasions. The Reds have won nine of their last 14 meetings with the Spurs along with four ties and only one loss. Both teams will be highly motivated, but Liverpool is arguably a better team, so I’m backing them to win this game in the regulation.

I think we’ll see a patient approach on both sides, but there are no secrets between Liverpool and Tottenham, and the Reds should control the ball in the middle of the park. The eventual opening goal will be a huge game changer whoever gets it, and I think we’ll see at least three goals in the Final. Five of the last six head-to-head duels between Tottenham and Liverpool had three or more goals in the total. Still, I would stick with the side bet, expecting the Reds to continue their domination over the Spurs. Tottenham was pretty lucky to reach this game, while Liverpool fully deserved to play in the final clash.

The Pick: Liverpool (-105)

Additional Pick: Over 2.5 goals (-110)

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