At 3:30 ET, the Bruins and Trojans meet up at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum for a week 12 NCAAF matchup. The action will be broadcast on ABC, and it’s all happening on Saturday, November 18th. In a matchup between two Pac-12 rivals, the Trojans are 6.5 point favorites at home. Which side are we taking? Read on to get our pick and analysis.
UCLA BRUINS VS USC TROJANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: USC Trojans -6.5
This game will be played at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 18th.
WHY BET THE USC TROJANS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 36-29 in favor of USC.
- Not only will USC pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 65.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 65 points.
Is a Road Win Possible for UCLA?
So far, the UCLA Bruins are 6-4, including going 2-3 on the road and 4-1 at home.
UCLA has gone into eight games as the favorite this season and two games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 4-6.
This season, UCLA has posted an over/under record of 2-8 through 10 games. On average their games have combined for 42.8 points.
On offense, the Bruins come in with the 58th ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 228.5 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 17th in terms of attempts.
This season, the Bruins’ defense has allowed 74.8 rushing yards per contest, placing them 206th. Opponents are averaging 219.1 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks hold a passer rating of 79.8 when facing UCLA. They currently hold the 93rd spot in NCAA points allowed.
Can the USC Offense Score Enough at Home?
So far, the USC Trojans are 7-4, including going 3-2 on the road and 3-2 at home.
Against the spread, USC has gone 3-7 this season. The Trojans have been favored seven times compared to three games as the underdog.
USC has put together an over/under record of 8-2 throughout this season. The average combined score in their games has been 78.5 points, and the standard over/under line has stood at 66.9 points.
In the rushing game, the Trojans are currently 72nd in college football with 319 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 152 rushing yards per game, putting them 57th nationally. Their passing game has averaged 34.7 passes and 324.8 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 1st, averaging 43.8 points per game.
On defense, USC comes into the game ranked 50th in passing yards per game. Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 32.8 times per contest vs. the Trojans. Overall, they are giving up 34.6 points per game, which is 146th in college football. Against the run, they are 143rd in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.