Another championship game awaits us in the NCAAF this weekend as we have an American Athletic Championship Game on Saturday, December 3, and here you can get the best Knights vs. Green Wave betting pick and odds.
UCF and Tulane will play for the American Athletic Conference title when they face at Yulman Stadium. The Green Wave are -3.5 favorites on Bovada Sportsbook, while the total is set at 57 points. These American Athletic foes have met once this year, and the Knights beat the Green Wave 38-31 at Tulane.
Knights scored a late TD to beat the Bulls
The UCF Knights (9-3-0, 7-5-0 ATS) were on a three-game winning streak before suffering a tight loss to Navy, but they returned to winning ways on the road against the South Florida Bulls. The Knights dropped a 28-0 lead and trailed 39-38 in the final minute of the game, but a late touchdown prevented a massive upset. UCF nearly lost to a 1-11 team that recorded no wins in conference play.
Mikey Keene completed 15 of 19 passes for 129 yards and two touchdowns, while John Rhys Plumlee had all of his passes on target (9/9) for 73 yards and a touchdown. Plumlee was dominant on the ground as he collected 133 yards and a couple of TDs on just eight carries. RJ Harvey and Isaiah Bowser combined for 128 rushing yards and a touchdown on 32 attempts, while Ryan O’Keefe, Kobe Hudson, and Alec Holler scored receiving touchdowns. On defense, Jason Johnson was a standout with a game-high 11 tackles.
Green Wave edged the Bears on the road
The Tulane Green Wave (10-2-0, 10-2-0 ATS) bounced back from a home defeat to UCF with a pair of wins over the SMU Mustangs and Cincinnati Bears. The latest win against the Bears wasn’t easy as it came in the final five minutes of the game. Tulane was 24-20 down but scored a late TD to secure a 27-24 road W.
Michael Pratt completed 13 of 22 passes for 162 yards and a touchdown. While the pass offense didn’t work, the Green Wave were impressive on the ground. Tyjae Spears recorded a season-high 181 yards and a pair of scores on 35 rush attempts. Duece Watts got a receiving touchdown on his lone catch, while Shae Wyatt and Lawrence Keys III combined for 117 yards on eight receptions. Defensively, Dorian Williams and Nick Anderson were fantastic with 12 tackles apiece.
QB Justin Ibieta (shoulder) is out for the season, while RB Cameron Carroll is out with a leg injury and will not be able to face UCF on Saturday.
- 7-1 ATS in the last eight games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game
- 5-1 ATS in the last six games following an ATS loss
- 2-4 ATS in the last six games when playing at home against UCF
UCF Knights vs. Tulane Green Wave Pick
Not only that the Knights already defeated the Green wave this season at Yulman Stadium, but they also defeated them in eight of the previous nine H2H duels. UCF is on a five-game winning streak against Tulane, and even though this game is of enormous significance for both sides, I am going with the visitors once again. UCF is very dangerous by using both pass and run offenses excellently, and although Tulane has a stronger defense, that is not going to help them here. After all, their D that is allowing 19.8 points per game this season and it’s 18th in the country, surrendered 38 points to the Knights a few weeks ago.
Pick: Take the Knights at +5.5 (-133)
I mentioned that UCF is dangerous from both the ground and air, but considering that Tulane is defending the air very well by allowing 182.2 yards per game to the opposing receivers, I expect the visitors to use their run offense a lot. The Knights have the sixth-best run offense in the country that is averaging 243.7 yards per contest, while the Green Wave is allowing 154.6 ypg on the ground. UCF is also good at defending the air, and we will likely have plenty of rushing attempts from each team here. Under is 7-3 in the Knights’ last ten games following a straight-up win, while Under is 4-1 in UCF’s previous five games after scoring more than 40 points in their last game.
Pick: Go Under 58.5 points (-133)