The Knights and Red Raiders are set to face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Red Raiders will host the game at United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, TX. This Big 12 conference matchup has an over/under of 137 points, and Texas Tech is favored to win by -7.5 at home vs. UCF.


The Pick: UCF Knights +7.5

This game will be played at United Supermarkets Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-70 in favor of the Red Raiders.
  • Even though we have Texas Tech winning straight-up, we like UCF at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will the Knights Make it Happen on the Road?

UCF comes into this game as a 7.5-point underdog, and they have gone 3-6 when considered the underdog this season. So far, the Knights are 13-8, including a 4-5 record in Big 12 games. They have gone 2-4 on the road this year, and their average scoring margin on the road is -9.7.

Most recently, the Knights beat Oklahoma by a score of 74-63. Over their last 10 road games, UCF has gone just 3-7, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak away from home.

As the underdog this season, UCF has gone 4-4-1 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 2-4 and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 137 is just below the average over/under line in UCF’s games this year of 138.8. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points, which is slightly higher than today’s line. On the season, UCF’s over/under record is 11-10.

Coming off their recent game, the UCF offense tallied 74 points in a matchup against Oklahoma. Their field goal percentage for the game was 41.7%, and they made 6 threes. Jaylin Sellers is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 17.2. Meanwhile, Darius Johnson also brings a PPG average of 13.1 into the game.

So far, the Knights’ defense is ranked 31st in the country at 65.0 points per contest. UCF will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Oklahoma to just 41% shooting in their most recent game.

Do the Red Raiders Have a Shot at a Home Win?

As the Texas Tech Red Raiders prepare to take on the UCF Knights, they will look to bounce back from a tough loss to Baylor, 79-73. Despite the loss, Texas Tech has been dominant at home this season, going 11-1, and they have gone 9-1 in their last ten games at home.

Overall, the Red Raiders have gone 16-6 this season, and they are 5-4 in Big 12 play. They have been favored in 14 of their games, going 13-1, and their average scoring margin at home is +15.2 points per game.

Overall, Texas Tech has an ATS record of 10-11-1 this season. At home, the Red Raiders have gone 6-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Texas Tech is 6-4 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 137 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas Tech’s games this year (138.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.

In their recent matchup, the Texas Tech offense ended with 73 points against Baylor. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 49.1% and made 9 threes. Pop Isaacs is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17.4 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Joe Toussaint brings a PPG average of 12.6 into the game.

The Red Raiders’ defense is presently ranked 96th nationally, allowing an average of 68.9 points per contest. Against Baylor in their most recent game, the Texas Tech defense gave up a total of 79 points while allowing Baylor to hit 49% of their shots.