Planning on watching today’s Knights and Cowboys game? Catch the action at Gallagher-Iba Arena in Stillwater, OK, as the Cowboys hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Big 12 conference contest is set at 139.5 points, with Oklahoma State being favored by -2.5 at home against UCF.

UCF KNIGHTS VS OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Oklahoma State Cowboys -2.5

This game will be played at Gallagher-Iba Arena at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.

WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Cowboys.
  • Not only will Oklahoma State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will UCF Win on the Road?

UCF will be looking to snap a five-game road losing streak when they take on Oklahoma State. So far this season, the Knights have gone just 2-7 on the road, compared to 12-5 at home.

For the season, UCF has an overall record of 14-12, including a 5-9 mark in Big 12 play. Their average scoring margin on the road is -8.6 points per game.

As the underdog, UCF has gone 6-4-1 vs. the spread this season and they are 14-11-1 overall. On the road, the Knights are 4-5 ATS and they have gone 2-1 ATS in their last 3 road games.

So far this season, the over/under record for UCF games sits at 13-12-1. Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this season (139). Currently, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-1-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 143 points.

In their recent matchup, the UCF offense ended with 75 points against Texas Tech. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.6% and made 6 threes. Coming into the game, the Knights offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 31%. On average, they get up 22.1 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 15.1 made free-throws.

So far this season, the UCF defense has been performing well, ranking 51st in the country at 66.7 points allowed per contest. The UCF defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 61 points and allowed Texas Tech to connect on 6 threes.

Can Oklahoma State Live Up to the Hype at Home?

With a record of 10-6 at home this season, Oklahoma State will look to improve upon their recent success at Gallagher-Iba Arena, where they have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games. As 2.5-point favorites, the Cowboys have gone 8-4 this season when favored.

Coming off an 80-76 win over Cincinnati, Oklahoma State has now won two straight games. Through 27 games, the Cowboys have gone 12-15, including a 4-9 record in Big 12 play.

As the favorite this season, Oklahoma State has gone 5-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cowboys have gone 4-6 ATS. In their last 3 home games, they have gone 2-1 ATS and their home ATS record this year is 7-9. Overall, their ATS record this year is 11-14.

This season, the over/under record in Oklahoma State games is 14-11 and today’s line of 139.5 is similar to the average over/under line of 140.4 in their games. So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 166 points.

In their latest game, Oklahoma State offense put up 80 points against Cincinnati. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 55.6% and made 7 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Javon Small, who is averaging 14.6 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Eric Dailey Jr. also maintains a PPG average of 9.1 heading into game.

Currently, the Cowboys’ defense holds the 160th rank in the nation, allowing 71.6 points per game. In today’s game, the Oklahoma State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 76 points.