Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Gauchos and Beach. The game is starting at 10:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Beach at Walter Pyramid in Long Beach, CA. Get ready to place your bets! This Big West conference matchup has an over/under of 154.5 points, and Long Beach State is favored to win by -4 at home vs. UC Santa Barbara.

UC SANTA BARBARA GAUCHOS VS LONG BEACH STATE BEACH BETTING PICK

The Pick: Long Beach State Beach -4

This game will be played at Walter Pyramid at 10:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.

WHY BET THE LONG BEACH STATE BEACH:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Beach.
  • Not only will Long Beach State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will UC Santa Barbara Make it Happen on the Road?

UC Santa Barbara has an overall record of 15-13, including a 8-10 mark in Big West Conference games. On the road, the Gauchos are 6-7 this season and have lost three straight games away from home.

For the year, UC Santa Barbara has been the underdog in nine games, going 4-5 in those contests. The Gauchos’ average scoring margin on the road is -0.8 points per game.

UC Santa Barbara has an overall ATS record of 9-16-1 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-7 and over their last 10 road games, they are 5-5 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Gauchos have gone 4-5 vs. the spread this year and they have an ATS record of 4-6 over their last 10 games as the underdog.

UC Santa Barbara’s over/under record this season is 16-10 and today’s over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (144.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 152 points and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 7-3.

The UC Santa Barbara offense is coming off a game where they scored 70 points against Cal State Fullerton. They posted a field goal percentage of 46.3% and connected on 7 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Ajay Mitchell who comes into today’s matchup averaging 19.3. Yohan Traore also heads into the game with a PPG average of 14.6.

In terms of defense, UC Santa Barbara is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.8 points per game. The UC Santa Barbara defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 79 points and allowed Cal State Fullerton to connect on 8 threes.

Will the Beach Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Long Beach State Beach will look to snap a three-game losing streak when they take on UC Santa Barbara Gauchos. The Beach have an 18-12 overall record and are 10-8 in Big West play. So far, they have gone 6-3 at home and have an average scoring margin of +2.8 points per game.

For the season, Long Beach State Beach has been favored in 17 games, going 11-6 in those contests. In their last outing, they lost to UC Irvine by a score of 82-61. Over their last 10 games at home, the Beach have gone 7-3.

Long Beach State has an ATS record of 13-15 this season. At home, they are 4-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Beach are 5-5.

Long Beach State’s over/under record this season is 16-12 and the average scoring total in their games is 152 points. Today’s over/under line of 154.5 is slightly higher than the average OU line in their games (152.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. On the season, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

The Long Beach State offense is coming off a game where they scored 61 points against UC Irvine. They posted a field goal percentage of 30.8% and connected on 3 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Marcus Tsohonis, who is averaging 17.2 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Aboubacar Traore also maintains a PPG average of 12.1 heading into game.

At present, the Beach’s defense is nationally ranked 267th, allowing 75.7 points per game. Against UC Irvine in their most recent game, the Long Beach State defense gave up a total of 82 points while allowing UC Irvine to hit 48% of their shots.