The Gauchos and Roadrunners are set to face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Roadrunners will host the game at Icardo Center in Bakersfield, CA. UC Santa Barbara is favored by -2.5 in this Big West conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 137 points.
UC SANTA BARBARA GAUCHOS VS BAKERSFIELD ROADRUNNERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Bakersfield Roadrunners +2.5
This game will be played at Icardo Center at 10:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.
WHY BET THE BAKERSFIELD ROADRUNNERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-71 in favor of the Roadrunners.
- Not only will Bakersfield pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 137 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Will UC Santa Barbara Shock Everyone at Icardo Center?
UC Santa Barbara comes into this game as the favorite, and they have gone 6-6 in their 12 games as the favorite this season. They are 12-8 overall, and they have gone 5-5 in Big West play compared to their 7-3 non-conference record.
On the road, the Gauchos have gone 5-4, and they have won their last three games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is +1.7 compared to +3.6 at home. In their last game, UC Santa Barbara lost to UC Davis by a score of 79-69.
UC Santa Barbara has been a tough team to predict against the spread this season, as they have gone 7-10-1. However, their ATS record has been better on the road, where they are 5-4 this year. Over their last 3 road games, the Gauchos are a perfect 3-0 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for UC Santa Barbara games is 11-7 and today’s line of 137 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (145.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points and the over/under record in their games over their last 10 is 7-3.
The UC Santa Barbara offense is coming off a game where they scored 69 points against UC Davis. They posted a field goal percentage of 50% and connected on 1 three. Leading the team in scoring is Ajay Mitchell, who is averaging 20.1 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Yohan Traore also maintains a PPG average of 15.3 heading into game.
At this time, the Gauchos’ defense is positioned 190th in the country, permitting 72.7 points per game. Against UC Davis in their most recent game, the UC Santa Barbara defense gave up a total of 79 points while allowing UC Davis to hit 50% of their shots.
Will the Roadrunners Exceed Expectations at Home?
With a 4-2 home record this season, the Bakersfield Roadrunners have been much better at home than on the road. They have gone 2-10 on the road this season, compared to their overall record of 9-12. They have gone 3-0 in their last three home games.
As the underdog, Bakersfield has gone 3-12 this season. They have been the underdog in 15 of their 21 games this season. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +4.5 points per game, compared to -9.7 points per game on the road.
As the underdog, Bakersfield has gone 7-8 vs. the spread this season and is 9-9 overall. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Roadrunners have a 6-4 ATS record.
This season, the over/under record for Bakersfield is 11-7 and today’s line of 137 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (136.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points, which is lower than today’s line.
In their latest game, Bakersfield offense put up 50 points against Cal State Fullerton. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 29.3% and made 2 threes. Leading Bakersfield in scoring vs. Cal State Fullerton was Kaleb Higgins with his 11 points. Dalph Panopio also added 10 points for the Roadrunners.
Currently, the Roadrunners’ defense holds the 106th rank in the nation, allowing 69.0 points per game. Bakersfield’s three-point defense is currently 81st in the country at 6.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.1% of their shots vs. Bakersfield.