Looking to win big? The Aggies and Matadors face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Matadors are hosting the game at Premier America Credit Union in Northridge, CA. The over/under for this Big West conference contest is set at 149 points, with CSUN being favored by -1 at home against UC Davis.


The Pick: CSUN Matadors -1

This game will be played at Premier America Credit Union at 10:00 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Matadors.
  • Not only will CSUN pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can the Aggies Offense Score Enough in Northridge?

The UC Davis Aggies have a 15-11 overall record going into their game against CSUN. Away from home, the Aggies are 5-5, while they are 8-6 at home. As of today, UC Davis holds a 12-12 ATS record. In their last ten games, UC Davis has gone 1-4 vs. the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through 26 games, UC Davis has an over/under record of 10-14-0, with their games averaging 139.5 points per game on average. When looking at the Aggies’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 145 points per game.

The UC Davis offense is coming off a game where they scored 61 points against UC Riverside. They posted a field goal percentage of 44.4% and connected on 4 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Elijah Pepper, who holds an average of 21.1 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Ty Johnson is averaging 16.8 points per game this season.

The Aggies’ defense is presently ranked 75th nationally, allowing an average of 67.8 points per contest. The UC Davis defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 67 points and allowed UC Riverside to connect on 4 threes.

Will CSUN Make it Happen at Home?

The CSUN Matadors have a 17-10 overall record as they take on UC Davis. In road games this season, they have an 8-6 record, while at home they are 7-4. As we evaluate CSUN’s performance vs. the spread, they come into today’s matchup with a 18-7 ATS record. In their last ten games this season, CSUN has gone 4-1 vs. the spread.

CSUN’s games have, on average, featured 149.2 points per game leading to an over/under record of 11-13-1. Their average over/under line is currently 149.1 points so far. In the Matadors’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 150 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 3-1-1.

The Matadors’ offense finished with 73 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 76.4 points per contest. One area that the CSUN offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 32nd in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 46%.

Currently, the Matadors’ defense holds the 207th rank in the nation, allowing 73.3 points per game. Against Long Beach State in their most recent game, the CSUN defense gave up a total of 87 points while allowing Long Beach State to hit 41% of their shots.