Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Golden Lions versus the Hornets? Tip off is at at 5:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on None. The game will be played at Dunn-Oliver Acadome in Montgomery, AL. This Southwestern Athletic conference matchup has an over/under of 149 points, and Alabama State is favored to win by -7 at home vs. UAPB.

UAPB GOLDEN LIONS VS ALABAMA STATE HORNETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Alabama State Hornets -7

This game will be played at Dunn-Oliver Acadome at 5:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.

WHY BET THE ALABAMA STATE HORNETS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Hornets.
  • Not only will Alabama State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -7.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Taking a Look at the Golden Lions Chances on the Road

UAPB is coming off a 76-63 loss to Jackson State and has lost three straight games. On the road, the Golden Lions have gone just 5-9 this season, and their average scoring margin is -11.5 points per game.

So far this year, UAPB has gone 10-14, including a 6-6 mark in Southwestern Athletic Conference play. As the underdog, the Golden Lions have gone 3-12 compared to 4-2 when favored.

As the underdog this season, UAPB has gone 6-8-1 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Golden Lions are just 3-7 vs. the spread. On the road, UAPB has an ATS record of 6-7-1 this year and they are 4-6 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

So far this season, the over/under record for UAPB games is 13-8 and today’s line of 149 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (156.8). In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total in those games is 137 points.

In their most recent game, the UAPB offense concluded with only 63 points against Jackson State. Throughout the game, they made 6/29 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 43.3%. The team’s top scorer is Kylen Milton, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 18.1, while Rashad Williams also maintains a PPG average of 17.2 leading up to the game.

Facing Alabama State, UAPB aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 82.9 points allowed per game (336th). The UAPB defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 76 points and allowed Jackson State to connect on 6 threes.

Can Alabama State Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Alabama State is 2-3 at home this season and 5-5 in their last ten games at home. They are 5-1 when favored this season and 11-13 overall. The Hornets are coming off a 73-62 loss to Southern and have lost two straight games.

So far, Alabama State has gone 6-8 in non-conference games, compared to 5-5 in Southwestern Athletic Conference play. They are 5-10 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -6.7 points per game.

Alabama State has an overall ATS record of 13-7 this season and they are 4-2 vs. the spread in games they have been favored. However, their ATS mark at home this year is just 1-4 and they are just 1-6 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Alabama State’s over/under record for the season sits at 8-12, and the average scoring total in their games is 139.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 149 is higher than the average OU line in their games (144.9). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 130 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-6.

In their most recent game, the Alabama State offense concluded with only 62 points against Southern. Throughout the game, they made 7/17 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 41.5%. Amarr Knox was the leading scorer for the Hornets, putting up 19 points. In addition, Micah Octave contributed 15 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Alabama State defense is giving up an average of 69.5 points per contest. In today’s game vs. UAPB, the Alabama State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Alabama State made 19 free-throws vs. the Hornets.