UAB vs. Southern Miss College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19


A couple of schools that like to mix in a lot of running plays, Head Coach Bill Clark and the UAB Blazers (+6) are gearing up to take on their CUSA nemesis Southern Miss Golden Eagles (-6) at Carlisle-Faulkner Field at M.M. Roberts Stadium. This pivotal afternoon matchup is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET and NFL Network will showcase the action.

UAB at Southern Miss Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Southern Miss is giving up 6 points in this CUSA game. The Blazers are currently receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Golden Eagles are -240. The over/under is set at 50 points. There will probably be some decent live betting possibilities while the game is underway.

The O/U has not changed after it was initially placed at 50. Having said that, the line opened at -7 and the sharp action has been siding with the Blazers.

The Blazers are 6-2 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against CUSA opponents. The Golden Eagles are 5-3 SU overall and 3-1 SU in conference play. The Blazers are 5-3 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.5 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 4-4.

The Golden Eagles are up 0.8 units this season. The team is 4-4 ATS and also has an even O/U record of 4-4.

The Blazers dropped one to Tennessee 30-7 in a thumping where their defense allowed the Volunteers to eat up the clock by running for 121 yards on 39 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Offensively, the Blazers completed 14-of-30 passes for 174 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Tyler Johnston III went 11-for-22 for 136 yards and three interceptions while Dylan Hopkins completed three-of-eight for 38 yards and one touchdown. Lucious Stanley (34 rushing yards on nine attempts) led the running attack. Myron Mitchell (five receptions, 63 yards) and Austin Watkins (three catches, 34 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Southern Miss enter this Saturday’s matchup after just earning a 20-6 win over Rice. Jack Abraham completed 23-of-36 passes for 207 yards and one interception. Kevin Perkins (86 rushing yards on 13 attempts, two TDs) and De’Michael Harris (41 yards on 12 carries) spearheaded the running game while Tim Jones (10 receptions, 96 yards) and Quez Watkins (six catches, 67 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

UAB has run the ball on 59.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Southern Miss has an overall rush percentage of 51.1 percent. The Blazers have rushed for 143 yards/game (including 154 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Golden Eagles are logging 118 rushing yards per contest (144 in conference) and have 10 total rush TDs.

Based on the results so far, it appears that the Blazers could hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has logged 3.7 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 2.8 to opponents. The Golden Eagles have rushed for 3.5 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 3.5 to opponents.

The Blazers have averaged 242 yards in the air overall (254 per game against conference opposition) and have 16 passing TDs so far. The Golden Eagles have put up 315 pass yards per outing (326.5 against CUSA competition) and have 14 total pass scores.

Defensively, UAB should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 92 rush yards and 163 pass yards per game. Southern Miss has allowed 111.5 yards per game on the ground and 255.3 to opponents in the air. The Blazers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.74 to opposing QBs, while the Golden Eagles have given up a 7.59 ANY/A.

Johnston III has put up 1,639 pass yards this season, and has connected on 105-of-174 attempts with 13 passing touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Johnston III’s got a 7.15 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 4.39 over the last two outings.

In the other locker room, Jack Abraham has tallied 2,143 yards, 12 TDs and five INTs. Abraham’s ANY/A stands at 9.42 for the season and 4.04 over his last two outings.

When these two teams met last year, UAB knocked off Southern Miss by a field goal 26-23.

UAB Blazers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Prediction

SU Winner – UAB, ATS Winner – UAB, O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The Southern Miss offense has lost four fumbles this season while UAB has let five get away.

The UAB defense has sacked opposing QBs 28 times this season. Southern Miss has recorded 27 sacks.

UAB has averaged 4.0 yards per carry across its last three games and 3.4 over its last two.

Southern Miss has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.1 over its last two.

In its last three games, Southern Miss is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for UAB’s previous game was set at 49.5. The under cashed in the team’s 30-7 loss to Tennessee.

Over its last three matches, UAB is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Southern Miss’ last match was set at 51. The under cashed in the 20-6 victory over Rice.

Southern Miss has won four of its last five games SU, with a -15-point defeat to Louisiana Tech on October 19th accounting for its one loss over that stretch.

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