Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Blazers and Bulls. The game is starting at 3:00 ET on ESPN2, and it’s hosted by the Bulls at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, TX. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 145.5 points, and South Florida is favored by -3 to win at home against UAB.


The Pick: South Florida Bulls -3

This game will be played at Dickies Arena at 3:00 ET on Saturday, March 16th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-67 in favor of the Bulls.
  • Not only will South Florida pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can UAB Secure a Road Victory?

UAB is 20-11 this season and has won four straight games. They are 14-6 in American Athletic Conference play, and 7-6 on the road. So far, the Blazers have been an underdog in 12 of their 31 games, going 7-5 in those contests.

Most recently, UAB defeated Wichita State by a score of 72-60. Over their last 10 games on the road, they are 6-4, and they are 3-2 in their last five road games.

As the underdog this season, UAB has an ATS record of 10-2 and an overall ATS mark of 19-12-1. On the road, the Blazers are 8-5 vs. the spread this year and have gone 6-4 in their last 10 road games.

UAB’s over/under record this season is 17-15 and today’s line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (148.9). So far, 13 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points and their over/under record during this span is 1-2.

The UAB offense is coming off a game where they scored 72 points against Wichita State. They posted a field goal percentage of 41.3% and connected on 6 threes. Yaxel Lendenborg led the scoring for the Blazers, contributing 18 points. Additionally, Daniel Ortiz chipped in with 16 points.

Currently, the Blazers’ defense holds the 251st rank in the nation, allowing 74.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.4 threes per game vs. South Florida. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.7%.

Do the Bulls Stand a Chance at Home?

South Florida will be looking to extend their home win streak to 17 games when they take on UAB. The Bulls have gone 18-2 at home this season, compared to 7-4 on the road. For the year, South Florida is 23-6 and has won two straight games.

So far, the Bulls have been favored in 21 of their 29 games, going 18-3 as the favorite. In their last game, South Florida defeated East Carolina, 81-59. Over their last 10 home games, the Bulls are a perfect 10-0.

South Florida has been outstanding against the spread this season, going 21-7-3. Their home ATS record is 16-3-1 and they are 9-0-1 in their last 10 games at home. As the favorite, the Bulls are 14-5-2 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in South Florida’s games this year (146.3). So far, 19 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 147 points.

South Florida is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 81 points versus East Carolina. This output is higher than their season-average of 75.6 points per game. On the offensive front, the Bulls have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 224th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 97th in terms of percentage and 46th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Bulls’ defense is positioned 71st in the country, permitting 68.0 points per game. Against East Carolina, the Bulls’ defense gave up 59 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, East Carolina only made 7 free-throws.