The UAB Blazers and North Texas Mean Green are ready to go at it on the turf at Apogee Stadium. This Saturday afternoon game will start at 4:00 p.m. ET and STAD will televise the action.
UAB at North Texas Betting Odds 11/30/2019
This CUSA game’s line is placed at 2 points in favor of North Texas. The Blazers are currently receiving +100 moneyline odds while the Mean Green are -120. This CUSA tilt should offer several in-game betting scenarios. The over/under has been set at 51.5 points.
The Blazers are 8-3 straight up (SU), including 5-2 SU against CUSA opponents. The Mean Green are 4-7 SU overall and 3-4 SU in conference play. The Blazers have gained 3.5 units so far and are 6-4-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 5-6.
The lackluster Mean Green have lost 10.2 units this season. They’re 3-8 ATS and have an O/U record of 7-4.
North Texas enters this contest on a zero-game winning streak while UAB has lost zero in a row. The Blazers made it two in a row after a 20-14 win over Louisiana Tech last week where Dylan Hopkins completed just 11-of-21 passes for 185 yards, as well as a TD and an interception. Lucious Stanley (61 rushing yards on 13 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Hopkins (35 yards on 12 carries) led the ground attack in the win. Myron Mitchell (four receptions, 81 yards) and Austin Watkins (three catches, 75 yards) shared the receiving duties.
North Texas just dropped a 20-14 game to Rice. The team’s defensive unit let the Owls eat up the clock by running for 122 yards on 43 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Austin Trammell had a solid showing, recording 91 yards on seven catches for Rice. For North Texas, Mason Fine completed 17-of-32 passes for 163 yards and one interception. Tre Siggers (38 yards on 12 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack in the defeat while Greg White (three receptions, 42 yards) and Michael Lawrence (three catches, 38 yards) led the pass-catching attack.
UAB has run the ball on 61.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while North Texas has an overall rush percentage of 46.2 percent. The Blazers have produced 157 rush yards/game (including 172 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have 14 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Mean Green are putting up 145 rushing yards per contest (140 in conference) and have 10 total rush TDs.
The Blazers have averaged 211 yards through the air overall (200 per game versus conference opposition) and have 18 passing scores so far. The Mean Green have produced 285 pass yards per game (285.1 in the CUSA) and have 31 total pass TDs.
UAB should hold an edge in both areas of the defense. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 99 yards and throw for 169 yards per game. North Texas has allowed 187.3 rushing yards per game and 232.8 to opponents in the air. The Blazers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.93 to opposing QBs, while the Mean Green have given up a 6.46 ANY/A.
Hopkins is up to 326 passing yards this season. He’s completed 29-of-56 attempts with two passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Hopkins has a 2.63 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 8.50 over the last two outings.
We expect the UAB offense to mix it up in this one. Dylan Hopkins, Jermaine Brown Jr. and Myron Mitchell have combined to account for 496 total yards and three touchdowns over the last couple of outings.
In the home locker room, Mason Fine has accounted for 2,774 yards, 27 TDs and seven INTs. Fine’s ANY/A stands at 7.52 for the year and 2.67 across his past two games.
Tre Siggers, Michael Lawrence and Greg White have combined to account for 348 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns over the last two games.
When these two teams faced each other a year ago, UAB earned the win 29-21.
UAB Blazers at North Texas Mean Green Free Pick
SU Winner – North Texas, ATS Winner – North Texas, O/U – Under
North Texas has lost seven fumbles this season while UAB has let five get away.
The UAB defense has 36 sacks on the year while North Texas has just 27.
UAB has averaged 4.7 yards per rush attempt over its past three contests and 5.6 over its last two.
North Texas has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.1 over its past two.
Over its last three contests, North Texas is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for UAB’s last game was set at 44.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-14 victory over Louisiana Tech.
In its last three matchups, UAB is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for North Texas’ previous outing was 55. The under cashed in the team’s 20-14 loss to Rice.
North Texas has lost four of its last five games SU, with a 26-point victory over UTEP on November 2nd accounting for its one win over that span.