Home Golf 2020 U.S. Open Golf Betting Odds & Picks

2020 U.S. Open Golf Betting Odds & Picks

Course form data is not going to help you with the U.S. Open at Winged Foot Golf Club in Mamaroneck, New York. The recent addition to the U.S. National Register of Historic Places will host its first U.S. Open since 2006 and second PGA Tour event since 1997 when the players descend on the course for the second major of 2020.

The U.S. Open is generally played in June, but COVID-19 popped up. The amazing thing is that this event will technically be part of the 2020-21 PGA Tour season, which started last week in the Safeway Open. This is a $12.5 million prize pool and $2.25 million goes to the winner, so just about all of golf’s best are on hand for this one.

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One name missing from the odds board is Brooks Koepka, who is rehabbing an injury, but it is a fully locked and loaded field otherwise. We’ll break it down with some odds from MyBookie Sportsbook and you can find the entire list down at the bottom of the article.

The Field

A who’s who of golf is on hand for the 120th U.S. Open. The criteria to qualify is sort of all over the place, but you’ve got your usual suspects with past major champions, the best players in the Official World Golf Ranking, and all that. You also have top finishers from various events throughout the season, including U.S. Amateur, U.S. Junior Amateur, and U.S. Mid-Amateur events.

There are a lot of players in this field that couldn’t win this tournament with a 20-shot handicap, but they get the chance to participate and that’s still great for them and great for the game of golf. This is a huge field, though, and with a cut line expected to be above par, a lot of players won’t make the weekend and will have ugly scores.

Course Profile

This is going to be a remarkably challenging U.S. Open. The U.S. Open has been held here six times. Only once has the winning score been under par. Geoff Oglivy won here in 2006 and shot 5-over. The rough is extremely penal at Winged Foot. There are going to be instances when the ball is buried so deep that spotters and players won’t be able to find it. Some rough cuts are upwards one feet in length.

The greens are also brutal here. Many are sloped quite significantly and should be fast and firm unless the 30% chance of rain Thursday night into Friday comes to fruition. Saturday and Sunday look sunny with very little rain. Winds could pick up for later tee times on Friday, so it may be tough for some guys to make the cut late.

This is a par 70 playing nearly 7,500 yards. The West Course looks a little bit different than it did for the last one after a 2017 redesign. This is not going to be a fun weekend for the players to say the least. You have to go long, but you also have to hit fairways and you really have to hit greens, otherwise your ball may disappear in the greenside rough.

Yay or Neigh?

As mentioned, this is the first time here since 2006. Phil Mickelson was one of the runners-up that year along with Jim Furyk. Billy Horschel and Ryan Moore played here as amateurs that year. Sergio Garcia and Tiger Woods were among those that missed the cut. Moore beat Luke List in the 2004 U.S. Amateur.

That’s really about all there is to say about horse for course considerations because we simply don’t have any.

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Stats Handicap

Well, this is a long, long course, so ball striking will be critical, as it is most every week. Back in 2006, only one hole played under par over the four days. A lot of players are going to want to try and play uphill putts on these holes because if you wind up with a downhill path, it might roll until the following week.

Most of the guys that hit a lot of fairways are not long hitters. Hitting the ball a long way will help, but it will be especially important to stay out of the deepest of the rough. Bryson DeChambeau covers the most ground with his tee shots, making up 67.88% of the yardage of the hole last season, but he was T-140th in driving accuracy last season. Fellow big hitters like Dustin Johnson (118th) and Matthew Wolff (120th) can really put it out there and the nice thing is that they have enough club to use a fairway metal or a hybrid on some of these holes. Other players won’t have that luxury.

That brings us to a guy like Tommy Fleetwood at +3300. Fleetwood was north of 61% in driving accuracy while still being T-16th in percentage of yardage covered off the tee. Fleetwood was also 26th in SG: Putting last season. He’s got a good price here and fits the profile of a player I’d be looking to back.

Of the shorter prices, outside of the favorite, Fleetwood and Daniel Berger (30/1) are my two favorites. Berger was 17th in SG: Putting and we all know what kind of ball striker he is.

At a course this challenging, it is really hard to look down the board that far. Big long shots won’t have what it takes to tame this course over 72 holes. Matthew Fitzpatrick at 50/1 is one of the bigger shots I’d be looking to take. He was second in SG: Putting last season and 59th in SG: Off-the-Tee. I don’t know if the wedge and iron games are good enough, but Fitzpatrick was top 40 in driving accuracy.

If I had to throw one long shot bomb out there, it would be Kevin Kisner at +9000. Kisner is a masterful putter, which should come in handy here. He also hits a lot of fairways. He’ll have to be better with his irons, but if he can get there, he’s got as good of a shot as anybody to make some putts to save par, which will be a good score on most of these holes.

Picks

Those are the four I’ll roll with this week in Fleetwood, Berger, Fitzpatrick, and Kisner. I’ll also look for live opportunities heading into the weekend on guys like Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa.

Coverage of the U.S. Open will be on Golf Channel and NBC throughout the week.

Odds from MyBookie Sportsbook as of 2:30 p.m. ET on 9/14

DUSTIN JOHNSON +800
JON RAHM +1000
JUSTIN THOMAS +1200
RORY MCILROY +1400
XANDER SCHAUFFELE +1600
COLLIN MORIKAWA +1800
BRYSON DECHAMBEAU +2200
WEBB SIMPSON +2800
DANIEL BERGER +3000
PATRICK CANTLAY +3000
HIDEKI MATSUYAMA +3300
TONY FINAU +3300
TOMMY FLEETWOOD +3300
JASON DAY +3500
ADAM SCOTT +3500
PATRICK REED +4000
TYRRELL HATTON +4000
TIGER WOODS +4500
MATTHEW FITZPATRICK +5000
JUSTIN ROSE +5500
PAUL CASEY +5500
VIKTOR HOVLAND +6000
RICKIE FOWLER +6000
MATTHEW WOLFF +6600
HARRIS ENGLISH +6600
LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN +7500
SUNGJAE IM +8000
GARYWOODLAND +8000
ABRAHAM ANCER +8000
SERGIO GARCIA +9000
KEVIN KISNER +9000
SHANE LOWRY +9000
BRENDON TODD +9000
BILLY HORSCHEL +10000
PHIL MICKELSON +10000
JORDAN SPIETH +10000
MATT KUCHAR +11000
MARTIN KAYMER +11000
SI WOO KIM +11000
BUBBA WATSON +12500
CAMERON CHAMP +12500
JOAQUIN NIEMANN +12500
ALEX NOREN +12500
HENRIK STENSON +12500
LEE WESTWOOD +12500
RASMUS HOJGAARD +14000
CHEZ REAVIE +14000
IAN POULTER +15000
JASON KOKRAK +15000
CAMERON SMITH +15000
MACKENZIE HUGHES +15000
WILL ZALATORIS +15000
BYEONG-HUN AN +16000
MARC LEISHMAN +16000
COREY CONNERS +16000
ZACH JOHNSON +17500
MATT WALLACE +17500
THOMAS PIETERS +17500
JOEL DAHMEN +17500
BERND WIESBERGER +17500
RYAN PALMER +17500
BRIAN HARMAN +17500
BRANDEN GRACE +20000
KEVIN NA +20000
DANNY WILLETT +20000
LANTO GRIFFIN +20000
KEVIN STREELMAN +20000
THOMAS DETRY +20000
SEBASTIAN MUNOZ +20000
ERIK VAN ROOYEN +22500
BRANDT SNEDEKER +22500
MATTHIAS SCHWAB +22500
SAM HORSFIELD +22500
CHRISTIAAN BEZUIDENHOUT +25500
MIKE LORENZO VERA +25000
ADAM HADWIN +25000
KEEGAN BRADLEY +25000
GRAEME MCDOWELL +25000
JUSTIN HARDING +25000
TOM LEWIS +25000
ANDY SULLIVAN +25000
ROBERT MACINTYRE +25000
CHARLES HOWELL III +27500
TYLER DUNCAN +27500
MARK HUBBARD +30000
BRANDON WU +30000
DANNY LEE +30000
RAFAEL CABRERA BELLO +30000
VICTOR PEREZ +30000
LUCAS GLOVER +30000
CHESSON HADLEY +30000
MAX HOMA +35000
ROMAIN LANGASQUE +35000
CONNOR SYME +35000
MICHAEL THOMPSON +35000
ADAM LONG +35000
RYAN FOX +35000
EDDIE PEPPERELL +35000
JT POSTON +40000
RICHY WERENSKI +40000
SHUGO IMAHIRA +40000
SAMI VALIMAKI +40000
ADRIAN OTAEGUI +40000
PAUL WARING +40000
STEVE STRICKER +40000
TROY MERRITT +50000
SUNG KANG +50000
KURT KITAYAMA +50000
TAKUMI KANAYA +50000
MATT JONES +50000
RENATO PARATORE +50000
ANDREW PUTNAM +50000
DAVIS RILEY +50000
LUCAS HERBERT +50000
JIM HERMAN +50000
LEE HODGES +50000
STEPHAN JAEGER +50000
TAYLOR PENDRITH +50000
RYO ISHIKAWA +60000
CHAN KIM +60000
JIMMY WALKER +60000
JAZZ JANEWATTANANOND +60000
CURTIS LUCK +60000
DAVIS THOMPSON +60000
DAN MCCARTHY +60000
GREYSON SIGG +60000
CHUN AN YU +75000
RICKY CASTILLO +75000
EDUARD ROUSARD +75000
SHAUN NORRIS +75000
PAUL BARJON +75000
COLE HAMMER +75000
ANDY OGLETREE +75000
SANDY SCOTT +100000
JOHN PAK +100000
SCOTT HEND +100000
JC RITCHIE +100000
JOHN AUGENSTEIN +100000
PRESTON SUMMERHAYS +100000
LUKAS MICHEL +125000
JAMES SUGRUE +125000
MARTY JERTSON +250000
RYAN VERMEER +300000
DANNY BALIN +400000

 

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