Looking to win big? The Trojans and Bobcats face off at 8:15 ET on ESPN+. The Bobcats are hosting the game at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX. Troy is favored by -3 in this Sun Belt conference contest against Texas State. The game’s over/under currently sits at 138.5 points.


The Pick: Texas State Bobcats +3

This game will be played at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center at 8:15 ET on Friday, March 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bobcats.
  • Not only will Texas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Troy Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

After winning their last game against Louisiana-Lafayette by a score of 87-73, the Troy Trojans come into this game with a record of 20-10. Over their last 10 games, they have gone 5-5 on the road.

On the season, Troy has been favored in 18 of their 30 games, going 15-3 in those contests. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +10.7 compared to -1.0 on the road.

As the favorite this season, Troy has gone 13-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Trojans are 6-4 vs. the spread. On the road, Troy has a 7-6 ATS mark this year and their last 3 road ATS record is 1-2.

Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Troy’s games this season (147.1). For the year, their over/under record is 14-13. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 156 points.

In their latest game, Troy’s offense looked good, scoring 87 points against Louisiana-Lafayette. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 38.5% and made 38/42 free throws. Christyon Eugene was the leading scorer for the Trojans, putting up 18 points. In addition, Tayton Conerway contributed 15 points.

So far, the Trojans’ defense is ranked 117th in the country at 70.2 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Texas State, the Troy defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Troy made 26 free-throws vs. the Trojans.

Will Texas State Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?

Coming into this game, Texas State is 6-6 at home this season and they have won five straight games in front of their home fans. Overall, the Bobcats are 13-17, including a 6-11 record in Sun Belt Conference play.

As the underdog, Texas State is 4-14 compared to 7-3 when they are favored. So far, they have played 18 games as the underdog.

As the underdog, Texas State has gone 6-12 against the spread this season. However, they have been solid vs. the spread at home recently, going 5-0 in their last 5 and 3-0 in their last 3 home games. Overall, their home ATS record is 6-6 this year.

This year, the over/under record for Texas State games is 11-17 and their games have averaged 135.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (137.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points and their OU record in those games is 1-2.

The Bobcats’ offense wrapped up their last game with 73 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 68.5 points per contest. Jordan Mason led the team in scoring, putting up 13 points. Additionally, Josh O’Garro contributed 11 points for the Bobcats.

At present, the Bobcats’ defense is nationally ranked 111st, allowing 70.0 points per game. So far, the Texas State defense is giving up an average of 8.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.4 times per game (639th).