Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Trojans and Golden Eagles. The game is starting at 3:30 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Golden Eagles at Reed Green Coliseum in Hattiesburg, MS. Get ready to place your bets! The Trojans are favored in this Sun Belt conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 145.5 points.
TROY TROJANS VS SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +1.5
This game will be played at Reed Green Coliseum at 3:30 ET on Saturday, January 20th.
WHY BET THE SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-66 in favor of the Golden Eagles.
- Not only will Southern Miss pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Can the Trojans Lock in a Win at Hattiesburg?
After their 74-71 loss to South Alabama, the Troy Trojans are 11-7 on the season and 5-1 in Sun Belt play. On the road, they are just 1-6 compared to 7-1 at home. On the year, they have been favored in eight of their 18 games, going 7-1.
Over their last 10 games on the road, Troy has gone just 2-8. They are 1-4 in their last five and 1-2 in their previous three. For the season, their average scoring margin on the road is -7.0 compared to +11.2 at home.
When looking at Troy’s ATS record this season, they have been solid with an 11-4 mark. As the favorite, the Trojans have gone 7-1 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Troy is 8-2 vs. the spread.
On the season, the over/under record for Troy games is 8-7 and today’s line of 145.5 is right around the average over/under line in their games this season of 146. So far, 9 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points.
Coming off their recent game, the Troy offense tallied 71 points in a matchup against South Alabama. Their field goal percentage for the game was 36.5%, and they made 9 threes. Christyon Eugene is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15.4. Meanwhile, Tayton Conerway also brings a PPG average of 11.7 into the game.
At this time, the Trojans’ defense is positioned 116th in the country, permitting 69.8 points per game. In their most recent game, the Troy defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as South Alabama knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 74 points.
Can the Golden Eagles Pull Off a Home Win?
Through 18 games this season, Southern Miss is 10-8 overall and 4-2 in Sun Belt action. As the underdog, the Golden Eagles are 4-5 compared to their 4-3 record as the favorite. They have gone 4-4 both at home and on the road.
Coming off a 69-66 win over Arkansas State, Southern Miss is 6-4 in its last 10 games at home. So far, the Golden Eagles have a 3-game winning streak at home and a -1.1 average scoring margin.
Against the spread this season, Southern Miss has a 6-10 record. In their 18 games, they have been the underdog 9 times and have gone 4-5 vs. the spread in those games. At home, their ATS record is 3-5, but they have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last 3 home games.
So far this season, the over/under record for Southern Miss games is 8-8. The average scoring total in their games is 144.6 points compared to an average over/under line of 143, resulting in a margin of +1.7 points. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3. On the year, eight of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 145.5.
The Southern Miss offense is coming off a game where they scored 69 points against Arkansas State. They posted a field goal percentage of 35.4% and connected on 7 threes. The team’s top scorer is Austin Crowley, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 16.1, while Victor Hart also carries a PPG average of 13.3 into the game.
Coming into today’s game, the Southern Miss defense is giving up an average of 71.0 points per contest. Southern Miss’ three-point defense is currently 157th in the country at 7.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.9% of their shots vs. Southern Miss.