Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Trojans versus the Warhawks? Tip off is at at 3:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Fant-Ewing Coliseum in Monroe, LA. Troy come into this Sun Belt conference matchup as the -6 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 144.5 points.

TROY TROJANS VS LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +6

This game will be played at Fant-Ewing Coliseum at 3:30 ET on Saturday, February 24th.

WHY BET THE LOUISIANA-MONROE WARHAWKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Warhawks.
  • Not only will Louisiana-Monroe pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Trojans Lock in a Road Win?

As the favorite, Troy has gone 14-3 this season, and they have a record of 18-10 overall. On the road, the Trojans have struggled, going just 3-8, compared to their 12-2 record at home.

Over their last ten games on the road, Troy has gone just 3-7, and they are coming off a loss to Arkansas State, 79-71. On the season, the Trojans have an average scoring margin of -3.0 points per game on the road.

As the favorite this season, Troy has an ATS record of 13-4. On the road, the Trojans have gone 6-5 vs. the spread this year and are 2-1 in their last three road games ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Troy’s games this season (147.1), and the over/under record in their games this season is 12-13. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3, and the average scoring total in those games is 147 points.

The Troy offense is coming off a game in which they scored 71 points vs. Arkansas State. Overall their field goal percentage was 40% while connecting on 7 threes. Christyon Eugene is leading the team in scoring at 15.1 points per contest. Tayton Conerway has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11.4 going into the game.

The Trojans’ defense is presently ranked 112nd nationally, allowing an average of 69.8 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Troy defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Arkansas State knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 79 points.

Can the Warhawks Pull Off a Home Win?

Despite being the underdog, Louisiana-Monroe has been solid at home this season, going 6-5 compared to their 3-10 record on the road. Over their last five games at home, the Warhawks are a perfect 5-0.

For the season, Louisiana-Monroe has an overall record of 11-15, including a 6-9 mark in Sun Belt Conference play. They have gone 6-13 when listed as the underdog.

As the underdog this season, Louisiana-Monroe has gone 11-8 vs. the spread. At home, the Warhawks have an ATS mark of just 3-8 this year and they are 1-2 ATS in their last 3 home games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Louisiana-Monroe has gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Louisiana-Monroe’s games this year (141). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total is 130 points.

In their most recent game, the Louisiana-Monroe offense concluded with only 66 points against Louisiana-Lafayette. Throughout the game, they made 4/14 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 42.9%. On offense, Louisiana-Monroe has been struggling with their efficiency, coming into today’s game with a field goal percentgage of 42%. So far, they are 133rd in free-throws made on a free throw shooting percentage of 65%.

At present, the Warhawks’ defense is nationally ranked 223rd, allowing 73.9 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.6 threes per game vs. Troy. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 34.3%.