Looking to win big? The Trojans and Ragin’ Cajuns face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Ragin’ Cajuns are hosting the game at Cajundome in Lafayette, LA. The over/under for this Sun Belt conference contest is set at 149.5 points, with Louisiana-Lafayette being favored by -2.5 at home against Troy.


The Pick: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns -2.5

This game will be played at Cajundome at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Ragin’ Cajuns.
  • Not only will Louisiana-Lafayette pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Can Troy Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

After a win over Louisiana-Monroe, Troy is now 19-10 overall and 12-4 in Sun Belt play. On the road, the Trojans have gone 4-8 compared to 12-2 at home.

As the underdog, Troy has gone 1-7 this season, and they are 1-7 on the road as the underdog. So far, they have been the underdog in eight of their 29 games.

As the underdog this season, Troy has an ATS record of 4-4. On the road, they are 6-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Trojans are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is similar to the average over/under line in Troy’s games this season (147). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 151 points.

Troy’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 84 points vs. Louisiana-Monroe. Overall, they hit 50% of their shots from the field and went 27/35 from the free-throw line. The team’s scoring leader is Christyon Eugene, who holds an average of 15.3 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tayton Conerway is averaging 11.4 points per game this season.

At this time, the Trojans’ defense is positioned 120th in the country, permitting 70.1 points per game. Against Louisiana-Monroe in their most recent game, the Troy defense gave up a total of 78 points while allowing Louisiana-Monroe to hit 47% of their shots.

Do the Ragin’ Cajuns Have What it Takes at Home?

With a 17-12 record, Louisiana-Lafayette is looking to snap a three-game losing streak when they face off against Troy. So far this season, the Ragin’ Cajuns have gone 10-2 at home compared to 6-10 on the road.

On the year, Louisiana-Lafayette has been favored in 15 games, going 11-4 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +9.2, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 8-2.

As the favorite this season, Louisiana-Lafayette has gone 8-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Ragin’ Cajuns have a 6-4 ATS mark. At home this year, Louisiana-Lafayette is 7-5 vs. the spread and they have gone 5-4 ATS over their last 10 home games.

Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is very similar to the average over/under line in Louisiana-Lafayette’s games this season (149.4). So far, the over/under record in their games is 14-14. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points, which is lower than the season average of 148.1 points per game.

In their latest game, Louisiana-Lafayette offense put up 71 points against Southern Miss. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 39.4% and made 6 threes. Leading Louisiana-Lafayette in scoring vs. Southern Miss was Joe Charles with his 26 points. Kobe Julien also added 10 points for the Ragin’ Cajuns.

Louisiana-Lafayette’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 71.1 points per game. In their previous game vs. Southern Miss, the Golden Eagles finished with a field goal percentage of 52% and a total of 82 points vs. Louisiana-Lafayette.