Looking to win big? The Trojans and Panthers face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Panthers are hosting the game at GSU Convocation Center in Atlanta, GA. Troy is favored by -3.5 in this Sun Belt conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 150 points.


The Pick: Georgia State Panthers +3.5

This game will be played at GSU Convocation Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Panthers.
  • Not only will Georgia State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 150 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Trojans Make it Happen on the Road?

With a 14-8 record, Troy has been a much better team at home, going 9-1 compared to 2-7 on the road. As the favorite, the Trojans are 10-2, and they have won three straight games.

Troy’s average scoring margin at home is +10.7, while on the road, it is -3.2. Over their last 10 road games, the Trojans have gone just 2-8.

As the favorite this season, Troy has gone 9-3 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 5-4 this year, and over their last three road games, they are 1-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Trojans have gone 7-3 ATS.

On the season, the over/under record for Troy games is 10-9 with an average of 148.5 points per game compared to an average over/under line of 146.2. Today’s line of 150 is higher than the average OU line in their games this season. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 150 points per game.

In their latest game, Troy’s offense looked good, scoring 84 points against Georgia Southern. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 43.1% and made 15/25 free throws. Christyon Eugene led the scoring for the Trojans, contributing 28 points. Additionally, Myles Rigsby chipped in with 13 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Troy defense is giving up an average of 69.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Troy’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.8% this season.

Can the Panthers Hold Strong at Home?

Georgia State is coming off a 81-71 loss to Appalachian State, which dropped their record to 9-12. They have lost four straight games and are 4-5 in Sun Belt play compared to 5-7 in non-conference action.

At home, the Panthers are 4-2 this season and have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games. For the year, they have been the underdog in nine games and have gone just 1-8 in those contests.

Georgia State has an ATS record of 8-9-1 this season and they are 3-2-1 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Panthers have gone 3-7 vs. the spread.

Georgia State’s over/under record this season is 11-7 and today’s over/under line of 150 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (148.6). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 155 points.

Compared to their season average of 78.5 points per game, Georgia State struggled in their previous game. Against Appalachian State, the Panthers scored 71 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 38.2%. The top scorer for the Panthers was Lucas Taylor with 14 points, while Jay’den Turner also chipped in with 13 points.

So far, the Panthers’ defense is ranked 236th in the country at 75.4 points per contest. Against Appalachian State, the Panthers’ defense gave up 81 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Appalachian State only made 5 free-throws.