Looking to win big? The Trojans and Red Wolves face off at 9:00 ET on ESPNU. The Red Wolves are hosting the game at First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR. The over/under for this game is set at 154.5 points, and Arkansas State is favored by -2.5 vs. Troy in a Sun Belt conference matchup.


The Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves -2.5

This game will be played at First National Bank Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Red Wolves.
  • Not only will Arkansas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Trojans Make it Happen on the Road?

Troy will face off against Arkansas State today, marking their 28th game of the season. This year, they currently have a record of 18-9. When playing away from home, the Trojans have a 3-7 record, while they hold a 12-2 record on their home court. Troy’s ATS performance shows a 17-7 record leading into today’s matchup. Over their last five games, the team has gone 4-1 versus the spread.

After 27 games, Troy has an over/under record of 12-12-0, with their games averaging a combined 148.5 points per game so far. When assessing the Trojans’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 1-2, with their games averaging 147 points per game.

In their latest game, Troy’s offense looked good, scoring 85 points against Louisiana-Monroe. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 51.6% and made 8/14 free throws. Christyon Eugene is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15.3. Meanwhile, Aamer Muhammad also brings a PPG average of 11.3 into the game.

So far, the Trojans’ defense is ranked 111st in the country at 69.4 points per contest. So far, the Troy defense is giving up an average of 9.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.8 times per game (657th).

Can Arkansas State Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

After defeating South Alabama 76-73, Arkansas State now has a 13-14 record. In their away games, they have gone 6-11, while at home they have gone 8-3. Regarding the spread, Arkansas State has compiled a record of 17-10-1 thus far. In their last ten games, Arkansas State is a perfect 5-0 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving Arkansas State have had an average of 157.7 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 153.5 points. Their over/under record is 13-14-1. The Red Wolves have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 163 points per game.

The Red Wolves’ offense finished with 76 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 79.6 points per contest. Taryn Todd is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 12.7 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Dyondre Dominguez brings a PPG average of 11.9 into the game.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Arkansas State is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 78.4 points per game (304th). The Arkansas State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 73 points and allowed South Alabama to connect on 4 threes.