Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Trojans and Red Wolves. The game is starting at 9:00 ET on ESPNU, and it’s hosted by the Red Wolves at First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 154.5 points, and Arkansas State is favored by -2.5 vs. Troy in a Sun Belt conference matchup.


The Pick: Arkansas State Red Wolves -2.5

This game will be played at First National Bank Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Red Wolves.
  • Not only will Arkansas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Does Troy Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

The Troy Trojans have a record of 18-9, including a game against Arkansas State. When playing away, the Trojans have a 3-7 record this season, while they have a 12-2 record at home. Up to this point, Troy has been solid vs. the spread, sitting at 17-7. In their last ten games, Troy has a 4-1 record vs. the spread.

Troy comes in with an over/under record of 12-12-0 through 27 games, with their games averaging a combined 148.5 points per game so far. The Trojans’ last five games have finished with a combined 147 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.

Troy’s offense had a good outing, putting up 85 points against Louisiana-Monroe. They achieved a 51.6% field goal percentage and went 8/14 from the free-throw line. The Troy offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 25.1 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 35% of their looks from outside this season.

At present, the Trojans’ defense is nationally ranked 111st, allowing 69.4 points per game. In their previous game vs. Louisiana-Monroe, the Warhawks finished with a field goal percentage of 51% and a total of 57 points vs. Troy.

Do the Red Wolves Have What it Takes at Home?

Arkansas State comes into their next game with a 13-14 record after securing a 76-73 victory over South Alabama. On the road, the Red Wolves have a 6-11 record, while they hold an 8-3 record at home. Arkansas State has a winning record against the spread at 17-10-1. In their last five games, they are a perfect 5-0 vs. the spread.

Arkansas State comes in with an over/under record of 13-14-1 through 27 games, with their games averaging a combined 157.7 points per game so far. In the Red Wolves’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 162 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 2-3.

In their most recent game, the Red Wolves’ offense tallied 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 79.6 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Taryn Todd with 21 points. Freddy Hicks also added 12 points for the Red Wolves.

So far, the Red Wolves’ defense is ranked 304th in the country at 78.4 points per contest. In today’s game, the Arkansas State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 4 three-pointers while giving up 73 points.