Last Updated: 2019-05-05
The Toronto Raptors visit the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 4 of their Eastern Conference playoff series and find themselves in an unlikely situation, being down 2-1 after winning the opening game. But the 76ers were able to bounce back with a couple of solid games in a row to take the series lead.
The Raptors opened as 1-point favorites but after 62% of the early wagers came in on Philadelphia, the 76ers now find themselves favored by 2. The total on the game has moved slightly from 215 to 214.5 with pretty good two-way action coming in on the over and on the under.
After hitting 51.9% of their field goals in the opener, the Raptors have labored a little bit from the field in the next two games, hitting 36.3% in their Game 2 loss at home and just 42.6% in Game 3. Making matters worse, is that the Raptors have just 17 3-pointers in the last two games on 64 attempts, so the Raptors are well below their average of 12 made 3-pointers per game.
The 76ers have made more turnovers each game than the Raptors but have also grabbed more rebounds, making all of that a wash. The 76ers did shoot the ball well last time, knocking down over 50% of the field goals, although they were able to get the Game 2 victory despite shooting less than 40% from the field. The Sixers did go 24 for 26 at the foul line, which was key in their five point victory.
The total in Game 1 was 223 and we’ve seen the number drop each game. It was at 217 last game and we see another drop after the third straight under.
If the Raptors were shooting their average on 3-pointers, this would be 2-1 the other way, if not 3-0, so it’s no secret what Toronto has to do to get back in the series. Part of it is due to the Sixers playing defense pretty well, but part of it is also due to the Raptors just not playing very well.
Toronto struggled a little bit long range against the 76ers during the regular season, but easily won the two games they were able to shoot 35.5% or better long range. If Toronto can hit their open shots, they should be able to take care of business.
Coming into the series I believed the Raptors were the better team and still think they are, so will have to take them as small underdogs in this one to send the series back to Toronto 2-2.
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