Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers Free Pick 11/10/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-10

The Toronto Raptors (6-2) will attempt to snap the seven-game winning streak of Los Angeles when they travel to Staples Center to square off against the Lakers (7-1). Los Angeles is a 9.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 215 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 10, 2019, and it can be seen on The Sports Network.

Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers Odds Preview

The last time the Raptors played, they won big over the New Orleans Pelicans, 122-104, easily covering as 2-point favorites. Pascal Siakam was the top scorer from either team with 44 points on 17-for-28 shooting. Toronto dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.226 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.543 (below their season average of 0.549). For those same stats, New Orleans was 0.141 and 0.455, respectively. The two teams combined to score 226 points, which was under the O/U total of 233.

The Lakers hope to maintain momentum after covering the 8.5-point spread against the Miami Heat in their last matchup, 95-80. With 26 points on 11-for-17 shooting, Anthony Davis was the top scorer from either team. The Lakers, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.4, had a mark of 25.6 and held the Heat to an effective field goal percentage of 0.388 (below their season average of 0.551). Combined, the two clubs scored 175 points, which was well under the O/U total of 218.5.

The offense of Los Angeles will square off against the elite defense of Toronto. Since the 2018-19 season, the Lakers rank 21st in offensive efficiency, while the Raptors are sixth in defensive efficiency. The Raptors figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.

Of Toronto’s 8 games, four have finished over the projected point total, while 5 of Los Angeles’ 8 games have finished under the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Lakers have a significant advantage. They are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS, while the Raptors are 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS.

The Raptors won both matchups against the Lakers last season. In the last matchup, Toronto won 111-98. The Raptors played a nearly perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.5 and a great free throw rate of 0.253. For those same stats, the Lakers were 13.3 and 0.176, respectively.

Raptors at Lakers ATS Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over


Betting Notes (2018-Present):

The Raptors average 34.1 three pointers per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The Lakers rank 21st in three pointers allowed per game (33.7).

Los Angeles ranks 20th in second chance points per game (12.9) while Toronto ranks 26th (12.0).

Toronto averages 17.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed (18.4 per game).

Los Angeles ranks seventh in rebounds per game (46.5) while Toronto ranks 10th in rebounds allowed per game (45.2).

Los Angeles is 11-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Toronto is 27-2.

In games where they score over 100 points, the Raptors are 75-26 and the Lakers are 41-36.

The Raptors rank 11th in assists per game (24.8) while the Lakers rank 19th in assists allowed per game (24.7).

Toronto ranks fourth in fast break points per game (18.2) while Los Angeles ranks 26th in fast break points allowed per game (16.0).

The Lakers rank first in points in the paint per game (55.4) while the Raptors rank 20th (46.5).

The Lakers average 5.6 blocks per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Raptors rank 10th in blocks allowed per game (4.7).

Toronto averages 8.2 steals per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Los Angeles ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.4).

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