The Maple Leafs and Jets are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Jets will host the game at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB. The odds for this non-conference game currently have the Jets as the -1.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals.
TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS WINNIPEG JETS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Winnipeg Jets -1.5
This game will be played at Canada Life Centre at 7:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.
WHY BET THE WINNIPEG JETS:
- Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Maple Leafs.
- We like the Maple Leafs on the moneyline (+110)
- The Maple Leafs are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
Does Toronto Have A Chance at Canada Life Centre?
On the season, the Maple Leafs have gone 24-14-8 and sit in 4th place in the Atlantic Division and 6th in the Eastern Conference. In the Eastern Conference, Toronto has gone 10-15 and have won two games in a row.
When playing on the road this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 13-5-6, and they have gone 21-10-7 when favored. Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone 5-5.
On the season, the Maple Leafs have gone 14-32 against the puck line, including a road puck line mark of 7-17. So far, Toronto has 12 wins by more than one goal and 12 losses by more than one goal. Coming into this game, the team’s average scoring margin sits at +.3 goals per contest.
When it comes to being the underdog, the Maple Leafs have gone 5-3 against the puck line, including a 1-2 mark in their last three games. Over their last ten road games, Toronto has gone 4-6 against the puck line.
Games involving Toronto have an average of 6.7 goals per game this season. Their average over/under line is 6.5. In terms of their over/under performance, the Maple Leafs come in with a record of 24-21-1.
Across the Maple Leafs last three road games, the team averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 3. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.
In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.4 goals per game this season, putting them in the 8th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 7th in the league. The Maple Leafs went 12-6 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 11-7.
Toronto’s leading goal scorer is Auston Matthews. So far this season, he has 39 goals, placing him 1st in the NHL. Matthews also comes into the game with 18 assists.
In terms of defense, the Jets head into the game ranked 25th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 28.9 shots per game against Winnipeg. So far, they are 21st in shutouts, achieving 2 shutouts.
Heading into this matchup vs. Winnipeg, goalie Ilya Samsonov has started 18 games in this season. His current record is 7-3, and his save percentage stands at 0.485%.
Will Winnipeg Make it Happen at Home?
At home this season, the Jets have gone 16-6-2 and have been favored in 31 of their 47 games. Overall, Winnipeg is 30-12-5 and has won two straight games as the favorite. In the Central Division, the Jets are in second place and have gone 12-4 against divisional opponents.
Over their last ten games, the Jets have gone 7-3 and are 2-3 in their last five games. Against other Western Conference teams, Winnipeg has gone 17-10 this season and is in third place in the conference.
At home this season, the Jets have gone 15-9 on the puck line, and their average scoring margin at home is +1.0 goals per game. So far, Winnipeg has 22 wins by multiple goals, and their puck line record for the season is 27-19.
Over their last ten games at home, the Jets have gone 7-3 on the puck line, and their puck line record as the favorite is 18-13. In their last ten games overall, the team’s puck line record is 5-5.
The average goal total for Winnipeg’s games is sitting at 5.5. The average over/under line for the season is 6.1. The Jets come in with an over/under record of 15-25-6.
Through their last three road games, Toronto has an puck line record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 3 goals per game.
The Jets come into the game scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game, putting them 16th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 21st in the league. This year, the Jets have recorded a 15-8 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 15-3 record.
Winnipeg’s leading goal scorer is Kyle Connor. So far this season, he has 18 goals, placing him 47th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 11 assists so far.
Defensively, the Jets are currently 25th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 28.9 shots per game against Winnipeg. They also are 21st in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.
Goalie Connor Hellebuyck gets the start and has made 34 starts this season. His record at this point is 23-8, and his save percentage is 0.951%.