Game six of an Eastern Conference First Round series is set for Saturday night when the Toronto Maple Leafs visit the Tampa Bay Lightning. Toronto cannot get past this Lightning team and if Tampa Bay can force a game seven, they will like their chances of winning game seven. Below is my NHL pick for the Maple Leafs vs Lightning.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Pick

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -110 @ BetOnline

This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 p.m. on Saturday, April 29, 2023.

Why Bet the Toronto Maple Leafs:

✅ I know nerves are a factor now, but the Maple Leafs have won seven of their last nine games played.

✅ Toronto has won five straight home games, including games three and four in Tampa.

✅ The Lightning have lost five of their last seven meetings against the Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs Cannot Shake the First Round Jitters

Toronto had a chance to finish off this series in five games, on home ice, but they were comfortably beaten by the Lightning. Tampa Bay trailed 1-0 in the game, but they quickly answered and left Canada with a 4-2 win.

The Maple Leafs got on the board 5:46 into the first period, but the Lightning answered back just 28 seconds later, and we went into the first intermission tied at one. Tampa Bay scored the only goal of the second period and took a 3-1 lead early in the third. Toronto made it a one-goal game with under four minutes left, but a late empty netter gave the Lightning the win.

Morgan Rielly and Auston Matthews both scored in the game five defeat. Three Toronto players recorded an assist on the night.

The Tampa Bay Lighting Are Showing Their Championship Pedigree

Tampa Bay knows how to win in the playoffs and knows how to beat the Maple Leafs in the playoffs, so they will still feel confident heading into game six. If they can get this series back to Toronto, the Lightning will live off that nervous game seven nervousness and will like their chances of getting the win.

In the game five win, Anthony Cirelli, Michael Eyssimont, Nicholas Paul, and Alex Killorn all scored. Eight Lightning players recorded an assist on the night.