Looking to win big? The Maple Leafs and Blues face off at 1:00 ET on ESPN. The Blues are hosting the game at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO. The Maple Leafs are the -1.5 goal favorites in this non-conference matchup against Blues. The over/under for the game is set at 6.5 goals.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS ST. LOUIS BLUES BETTING PICK

The Pick: St. Louis Blues +1.5

This game will be played at Enterprise Center at 1:00 ET on Monday, February 19th.

WHY BET THE ST. LOUIS BLUES:

  • Coming in as 1.5 goal favorites, our projections have the Maple Leafs picking up a 4-3 win.
  • Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
  • On the puck line, we like Blues (+1.5)

Will the Toronto Defense Show Up on the Road?

On the season, the Maple Leafs have a record of 29-16-8, placing them 3rd in the Atlantic Division and 5th in the Eastern Conference. Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone 7-3 and they have won three straight games. When playing on the road this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 14-6-6.

So far this year, Toronto has been favored in 44 of their 53 games, and they have gone 25-12-7 in those games. Against other teams in the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs have gone 11-17.

On the road this season, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 8-18, and their average scoring differential is +.3 goals per game. So far, Toronto has 15 wins by multiple goals and 13 losses by more than one goal. In their last 10 road games, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 4-6.

Overall, Toronto has gone 17-36 against the puck line, and they have been favored in 44 of their games. When favored, the Maple Leafs’ average scoring margin is +.5 goals per contest. In their last 3 games, the team’s puck line record is 2-1, and their puck line record for the season is 11-33 as the favorite.

For the season, Toronto’s games have finished with an average of 6.8 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.5. Overall, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 28-23-2.

Toronto has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.

On the offensive side, the Maple Leafs are scoring an 3.6 goals per game this season, ranking 5th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 6th in the league. This season, the Maple Leafs have a 15-8 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 12-7 record.

Toronto’s leading goal scorer is Auston Matthews. So far this season, he has 48 goals, placing him 1st in the NHL. Matthews also comes into the game with 23 assists.

In terms of defense, the Blues head into the game ranked 9th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 31.7 shots per game against St. Louis. So far, they are 18th in shutouts, achieving 3 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Ilya Samsonov has started 23 games this season. His current record stands at 11-4, and his save percentage is 0.594%.

Will St. Louis Come Through as Home Underdogs?

At home this season, the Blues have gone 16-10-1, and they have gone 29-23-2 overall. In the Central Division, St. Louis is in 4th place and 8th in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, the Blues have gone 17-15 this season. Over their last ten games, St. Louis has gone 7-3, and they are 3-2 in their last five games.

As the underdog, the Blues have gone 22-15-2 this season, and they have been the underdog in 39 of their 54 games. Over their last three games, St. Louis is 1-2.

St. Louis enters the game with a puck line record of 31-23, including a mark of 17-10 at home. So far this season, they have 17 wins by multiple goals compared to just 12 one-goal victories.

Overall, the Blues have an average scoring margin of -.1 goals per game. In their last ten home games, their puck line record is 6-4, and they have gone 7-3 against the puck line in their last ten games overall.

For the season, St. Louis’ games have finished with an average of 6.1 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.3. Overall, the Blues have an over/under record of 23-26-5.

In their last three road games, Toronto has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.

For their offensive performance, the Blues come in averaging 2.9 goals per game this season, which is 22nd in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 24th in the league. This season, the Blues are 11-8 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 17-13 record.

The leading scorer for St. Louis’ offense is Jake Neighbours. Coming into the game he has 19 goals, ranking 58th in the NHL. Neighbours also comes into the game with 7 assists.

In terms of defense, the Blues head into the game ranked 9th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 31.7 shots per game against St. Louis. So far, they are 18th in shutouts, achieving 3 shutouts.

Goalie Jordan Binnington comes into the game having made 37 starts this season. So far, his record is 19-15 and he has a save percentage of 0.962%.