The Maple Leafs and Avalanche are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Avalanche will host the game at Ball Arena in Denver, CO. The odds for this non-conference game currently have the Avalanche as the -1.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS COLORADO AVALANCHE BETTING PICK

The Pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.

WHY BET THE COLORADO AVALANCHE:

  • Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Maple Leafs.
  • We like the Maple Leafs on the moneyline (-101)
  • The Maple Leafs are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Are the Maple Leafs Ready for a Win at Denver?

When playing on the road this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 17-6-6 and have won three straight games away from home. In the Eastern Conference standings, Toronto is in fifth place and has a record of 32-16-8.

Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 8-2, and they have won six straight games when they have been the favorite. Against teams in the Eastern Conference, Toronto has gone 11-17 this season.

So far this season, the Maple Leafs have gone just 20-36 against the puck line, including going 14-33 when they are favored. Overall, Toronto has 18 wins by multiple goals compared to 14 wins by just one goal.

Currently, the team’s average scoring margin is +.6 goals per game, and they have gone 6-4 against the puck line in their last ten games. On the road, the Maple Leafs have gone 11-18 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin is +.6 goals per game.

This season, Toronto’s games have an average of 6.9 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.5. The Maple Leafs come in with an over/under performance of 30-24-2.

In their last three road games, Toronto has averaged 5 goals per game while allowing 2. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.

In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.7 goals per game this season, putting them in the 4th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 4th in the league. This season, the Maple Leafs are 18-8 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 12-7 record.

Toronto will be looking for a good game from Auston Matthews who leads the team in scoring with 52 goals, ranking 1st in the NHL. Matthews also comes into the game with 24 assists.

The Avalanche defense is currently 18th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.3 shots per game against Colorado. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 23rd with 2 shutouts.

Goalie Ilya Samsonov comes into the game having made 25 starts this season. So far, his record is 13-4 and he has a save percentage of 0.607%.

Do the Avalanche Stand a Chance at Home?

At home this season, the Avalanche have been dominant, going 22-5-0 and riding a six-game winning streak. In the Western Conference standings, Colorado is in fourth place and third in the Central Division, with a record of 35-19-5.

Against other Western Conference teams, the Avalanche have gone 22-11 this season. As the favorite, Colorado has gone 32-13-5 this season and has been favored in 49 of their 58 games.

At home this season, the Avalanche have a puck line record of 17-10 and an average scoring margin of +1.6 goals per game. Overall, Colorado has 26 wins by multiple goals compared to just nine one-goal victories.

So far, the Avalanche’s puck line record is 27-31, including a mark of 24-25 when favored. In their last ten home games, Colorado has gone just 3-7 against the puck line.

The average goal total for Colorado’s games is sitting at 6.8. The average over/under line for the season is 6.4. The Avalanche come in with an over/under record of 34-22-2.

Toronto has played well in their previous three road games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 5 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 3-0.

On offense, the Avalanche are averaging 3.6 goals per game which is 2nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 3rd in the league. This year, the Avalanche have recorded a 23-11 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 10-7 record.

The leading scorer for Colorado’s offense is Nathan MacKinnon. Coming into the game he has 34 goals, ranking 6th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, MacKinnon has 59 assists this season.

Colorado defense takes on the Maple Leafs ranked 18th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.3 shots per game against Colorado. They also are 23rd in shutouts, with 2 shutouts.

Goalie Alexandar Georgiev gets the start and has made 46 starts this season. His record at this point is 30-13, and his save percentage is 0.991%.