Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche Betting Pick 2/12/19

 

Last Updated: 2019-02-12

The Pepsi Center plays host to an intriguing tilt as the Colorado Avalanche welcome the visiting Toronto Maple Leafs. It’s the final time that the two clubs will meet in the regular season. This East-West matchup will get started at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 12 and it’ll be shown live on The Sports Network.

Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche Odds

With a -135 moneyline, Toronto enters the matchup as the favorite. The line for Colorado now stands at +115 and the Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 7 goals. The odds for betting that total stand at -120 for the over and even money (+100) for the under.

Toronto is 34-21 straight up (SU) and has lost 0.3 units for moneyline bettors this year. 26 of its matches have gone under the total, while 25 have gone over and just four have pushed. This 2018-19 Maple Leafs team is 17-9 SU on the road.

Toronto has converted on 19.6 percent of its power play chances this year, a figure that’s right around league average. Its penalty kill is ranked 13th overall, and it has successfully killed off 81.4 percent of its penalties.

The Leafs, as a collective unit, have been penalized just 2.8 times per game in the 2018-19 season, and 1.8 per game over its last five games. The team has been forced to kill penalties just 5.7 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

With a .923 save percentage and 30.4 saves per game, Frederik Andersen (25-13-2) has been the primary option in goal for Toronto this year. If head coach Mike Babcock decides to rest him, however, Toronto could turn to Garret Sparks (7-6-1), who has a .908 save percentage and 2.86 goals against average this year.

The visiting Maple Leafs will be led by Mitchell Marner and John Tavares. Marner has 66 points via 20 goals and 46 assists, and has recorded two or more points in 20 different games. Tavares has 33 goals and 27 assists to his nameand has notched at least one point in 37 games.

On the other bench, Colorado is 22-33 straight up (SU) and has lost 18.5 units for moneyline bettors this year. 30 of its contests have gone over the total, while 24 have gone under and just one has pushed. This season, the team is 10-15 SU at home.

The Avalanche have converted on 23.4 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a mark that’s good enough for eighth-best in the league. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 26th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 76.9 percent of all opponent power plays.

Avalanche skaters have been penalized 4.1 times per game this season, 4.2 per game over their past five match ups total, and 4.2 per game over their last five at home. The team has been forced to defend opponent power plays 12.2 minutes per contest over their last five home games.

Semyon Varlamov (27.3 saves per game) has been the top netminder in goal for the Avalanche. Varlamov has 13 wins, 22 losses, and eight OT losses and has maintained a fairly-weak .906 save percentage and 2.91 goals against average this year.

The Avs will be led on offense by Mikko Rantanen (24 goals, 51 assists).

Toronto Maple Leafs at Colorado Avalanche Betting Predictions

NHL Prediction: SU Winner – Avalanche, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes

For both of these teams, the total has gone over in three of their past five games.

Colorado has averaged 3.3 goals per game this year, but is averaging 2.0 goals per contest on its seven-game losing skid.

Seven of Colorado’s last ten outings have been decided by two or more goals, and the club is 2-5 overall in those games.

Toronto skaters registered 20.8 hits per game last season, while the Avs logged 20.4 hits per matchup.

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