Looking to win big? The Maple Leafs and Coyotes face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Coyotes are hosting the game at Mullett Arena in Tempe, AZ. The Maple Leafs are the -1.5 goal favorites in this non-conference matchup against Coyotes. The over/under for the game is set at 6.5 goals.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS ARIZONA COYOTES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Coyotes +1.5

This game will be played at Mullett Arena at 10:00 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.

WHY BET THE ARIZONA COYOTES:

  • With the Maple Leafs being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Maple Leafs.
  • Take the Maple Leafs on the moneyline
  • On the puck line, we like Coyotes (+1.5)

Is a Win at Tempe Possible for the Maple Leafs?

Heading into tonight’s game, the Maple Leafs sit in 5th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. On the season, Toronto is 30-16-8, and they have won four straight games. When playing on the road, the Leafs are 15-6-6, and they have been favored in 45 of their 54 games this year.

Over their last ten games, Toronto has an 8-2 record, and they have won their last four games as the favorite. In the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs have gone 11-17, and they have a record of 26-12-7 when favored. In their last three games, Toronto has a perfect 3-0 record.

On the road this season, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 9-18 and an average scoring margin of +.4 goals per game. So far, Toronto has been favored in 45 games, and their puck line record as the favorite is 12-33.

As the favorite, the Maple Leafs have an average scoring margin of +.5 goals per game, and they have 16 wins by multiple goals. In their last 10 road games, Toronto’s puck line record is 4-6, and their overall puck line record is 18-36.

For the season, the average number of goals per game in matchups featuring Toronto is 6.8. The season’s average over/under line is currently at 6.5. The Maple Leafs come in with an over/under record of 28-24-2.

The Maple Leafs are 2-1 puck line in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.

In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 5th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 7th in the league. The Maple Leafs went 16-8 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 12-7.

The leading scorer for Toronto’s offense is Auston Matthews. Coming into the game he has 49 goals, ranking 1st in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Matthews has 24 assists this season.

Defensively, the Coyotes come into the season ranked 9th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 31.9 shots per game against Arizona. For the season, they are ranked 3rd in shutouts, coming in with 6 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Arizona, goalie Martin Jones has started 17 games in this season. His current record is 10-7, and his save percentage stands at 0.528%.

Do the Coyotes Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

At 23-28-4, the Coyotes are in 7th place in the Central Division and 13th in the Western Conference. They have lost ten straight games and are 0-5 in their last five contests. At home, Arizona is 15-13-0 this season and has dropped four straight games at home.

Against other Western Conference teams, the Coyotes have gone 14-19 this season. As the underdog, Arizona is 13-27-3 this year and has lost five straight games when not favored. In games where they are the underdog, the Coyotes have gone 0-10 in their last ten games.

Arizona enters the game with an average scoring differential of -.3 goals per game and has gone 28-27 against the puck line this year. So far, the Coyotes have gone 23-20 against the puck line as the underdog.

At home, Arizona has a puck line record of 13-15 and has gone just 4-6 against the puck line in their last ten games at home. Overall, the Coyotes have gone 12-20 against the puck line in their last ten games.

On average, Arizona’s games have finished with 6.1 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.2. In total, the Coyotes come in with an over/under record of 29-23-3.

Across their last three road contests, Toronto has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 3 goals per game.

On offense, the Coyotes are averaging 2.9 goals per game which is 24th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 30th in the league. The Arizona offense is ranked 18th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 27th in the NHL.

Arizona will be looking for a good game from Clayton Keller who leads the team in scoring with 22 goals, ranking 38th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Keller has 29 assists this season.

The Coyotes defense is currently 9th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 31.9 shots per game against Arizona. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 3rd with 6 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Toronto, goalie Karel Vejmelka has started 21 games in this season. His current record is 6-14, and his save percentage stands at 0.67%.