Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Free Pick 07/12/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-07-12

Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays will pay a visit to Bronx to face off against a divisional rival in the Yankees at Yankee Stadium. YES Network will broadcast the matchup and the game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Odds

The Yankees are 57-31 straight up (SU) and 52-36 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 17.9 units ATS. New York has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Blue Jays are 34-57 SU and have gone 43-48 against the spread. They’ve lost 17.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 10.2 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 48-37-3 so far in 2019. Toronto has an over/under record of 45-43-3.

The right-handed Aaron Sanchez is projected to start for the visiting Blue Jays. Sanchez is 3-12 with a 6.16 ERA and 77 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and an 11.81 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees will turn to righty Domingo German (10-2, 3.67 ERA), who’s got 83 strikeouts and 19 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.09. German hasn’t faced the Blue Jays yet this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 3.52 ERA and eight strikeouts across 7.2 innings).

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.22 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.03 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 38 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.05 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.67.

The New York hitters have put up 5.7 runs per contest, including 6.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .247/.308/.478 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Yankees’ hitters have been led by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres. LeMahieu is slashing .336/.383/.518 with 12 home runs, 63 RBIs and 65 runs scored, and the line for Torres stands at .292/.360/.528 with 19 homers, 50 RBIs and 56 runs.

For the visitors, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.36 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 7.24 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.40, along with a K/9 of 9.50.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .232/.301/.411 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Freddy Galvis and Randal Grichuk continue to lead Toronto’s hitters. Galvis is slashing .270/.309/.467 with 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Grichuk (.233/.291/.417) has produced 15 homers, 38 RBIs and 41 runs scored.

The Blue Jays have lost 18.9 units and are 27-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 12.1 units and are 38-26 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 36 of those games, compared to 26 that went under the total.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The under has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.

The Blue Jays have an OPS of .712 this season and an OPS of .707 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS sits at .806 overall and .831 against righties.

Toronto has posted 23.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.

Each team has hit 21 home runs over its last 10 games.

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